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EFTE: An interactive Delphi method
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1985Abstract A new expert opinion technique is developed and applied to estimate the impact of information technologies on clerical work. EFTE stands for estimate, feedback, talk, estimate—the sequence of steps involved in this variant on the Delphi approach.
Alan L. Porter, Keith R. Nelms
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Improvement and application of the Delphi method
Proceedings of the 10th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, 2012In view of extreme points of the Delphi method, this paper introduces the penalty factor to improve it and overcome the influence of subjective factors. Then, it applies the improved Delphi method to determine weight factor of stroke rehabilitation evaluation indicator in the context of stroke rehabilitation evaluation system.
Jianhui Wang+3 more
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Demystifying the Delphi Method
2015The Delphi research method was specifically designed as a forecasting tool for the Rand Corporation in the 1950s. However, in the last several decades, Delphi research has been more frequently used for facilitating group communication for decision making and planning.
Kaye Shelton, Kathleen Adair Creghan
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Es ist nicht ungewohnlich, an dieser Stelle mit einer detaillierten Definition der Methode zu beginnen. Ein solcher Definitionsversuch ist eine Notwendigkeit und eine Herausforderung zugleich. Die Schwierigkeit liegt darin begrundet, dass sich einerseits die bisher durchgefuhrten Delphi-Studien nicht in einer einheitlichen Beschreibung wiederfinden ...
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Crowdsourcing Versus Delphi Method
IEEE Systems Journal, 2019We studied the feasibility of using crowdsourcing and the Delphi method for obtaining unbiased, anonymous comments. The goal was to determine if either method might be feasible for estimating effort, time, and challenges from brief descriptions of technical projects for embedded systems.
Kim R. Fowler, Stephen A. Dyer
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Applications of the Delphi method in China
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 1990Abstract As an important and basic method of technological forecasting and technological assessment, the Delphi method has found extensive applications in China since 1980. On the basis of a number of Delphi interrogations, and through an exhaustive study of 31 Delphi forecasting applications in China, the authors have conducted a comparative ...
Chen Yuxiang, Li Changgeng, Zhu Donghua
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Enhancing Delphi research: methods and results
Journal of Advanced Nursing, 2004Background. The Delphi method provides an opportunity for experts (panelists) to communicate their opinions and knowledge anonymously about a complex problem, to see how their evaluation of the issue aligns with others, and to change their opinions, if desired, after reconsideration of the findings of the group's work. Delphi studies have the potential
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Revisiting the Delphi Method for Agents [PDF]
Research on agent interaction has attracted the attention of agent researchers for a long time. This paper revisits an old work to find uses of an argumentation protocol which borrows from social sciences to raise agreements among several agents. In this protocol, several agents discuss and provide a conclusion after some rounds of mutual information ...
Ruben Fuentes Fernandez+1 more
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The Delphi method and health research
Health Education, 2003The Delphi method is well suited to the research needed to inform health education and health promotion campaigns. This paper measures the current interest in the method by way of a literature review. It then describes how the method has evolved from its inception in the 1950s, to its current form.
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The Utility of the Delphi Method in MFT Research
American Journal of Family Therapy, 2001One of the greater criticisms noted in the field of marriage and family therapy (MFT) research is the lack of clear and concise definitions, concepts, and treatment protocols. Given this, the field of MFT would benefit from research methodology to assist in the understanding of areas of previous confusion or dissension.
Penny S. Brucker, Matt D. Dawson
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