Results 121 to 130 of about 13,013 (308)

Asymptotic properties of cross‐classified sampling designs

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We investigate the family of cross‐classified sampling designs across an arbitrary number of dimensions. We introduce a variance decomposition that enables the derivation of general asymptotic properties for these designs and the development of straightforward and asymptotically unbiased variance estimators.
Jean Rubin, Guillaume Chauvet
wiley   +1 more source

T‐calibration in semi‐parametric models

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract This article relates the calibration of models to the consistent loss functions for the target functional of the model. Correctly specified models are calibrated. Conversely, we demonstrate that if there is a parameter value that is optimal under all consistent loss functions, then a model is calibrated.
Anja Mühlemann, Johanna Ziegel
wiley   +1 more source

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley   +1 more source

Causal analysis of extreme risk in a network of industry portfolios

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We provide a detailed review of causal dependence within the framework of max‐linear structural models. Such models express each node variable as a max‐linear function of its parental node variables in a directed acyclic graph (DAG) and some exogenous innovation.
Claudia Klüppelberg, Mario Krali
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley   +1 more source

A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al.
Lu Yang   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Fourier Mass Lower Bounds for Batchelor‐Regime Passive Scalars

open access: yesCommunications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Batchelor predicted that a passive scalar ψν$\psi ^\nu$ with diffusivity ν$\nu$, advected by a smooth fluid velocity, should typically have Fourier mass distributed as |ψ̂ν|2(k)≈|k|−d$|\widehat{\psi }^\nu |^2(k) \approx |k|^{-d}$ for |k|≪ν−1/2$|k| \ll \nu ^{-1/2}$.
William Cooperman, Keefer Rowan
wiley   +1 more source

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