An Empirical Study of Dividend Payout and Future Earnings in Singapore [PDF]
This paper applies Johansen’s vector error-correction model (VECM) to investigate for the existence of the dividend signalling effect in the Singapore aggregate market through impulse response analysis, forecast error variance decomposition and granger ...
Lee, King Fuei
core +1 more source
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Implications of Dividend Announcements for the Stock Prices and Trading Volumes of DAX Companies (in English) [PDF]
This paper deals with market reactions to dividend announcements on the German stock market. Our study is based on a model of expected dividends with regard to the reluctance-to-change-dividends hypothesis.
Henryk Gurgul +2 more
core
Improving Implied Volatility Forecasts for American Options Using Neural Networks
ABSTRACT This paper explores the application of neural networks to improve pricing of American options. Focusing on both American and European options on the S&P 100 index from January 2016 to August 2023, we integrate neural networks to model the difference between market‐implied and model‐implied volatilities derived from the Black‐Scholes and Heston
Haitong Jiang, Emese Lazar, Miriam Marra
wiley +1 more source
Dividend and Share Changes: Is There a Financing Hierarchy? [PDF]
The most widely accepted empirical dividend model is that proposed by Lintner, who argued that firms smooth dividends over time. Many theoretical dividend models, however, either predict that dividends should be highly variable, or at least offer no ...
Naomi Soderstrom, Robert L. McDonald
core
Time Integrals Under the Black–Scholes–Merton and Margrabe Economies
ABSTRACT The problem of integrating the Black, Scholes, and Merton (BSM) formula with respect to the time variable is paramount for an economist. Inspired by the real options literature, Shackleton and Wojakowski offer analytic formulae for valuing finite maturity (profit) caps and floors that are contingent on continuous flows following a lognormal ...
José Carlos Dias +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Further Findings on the Intergenerational Transmission of Alcohol Consumption
ABSTRACT Using 43,817 parent–child pairs from 23 waves of the HILDA Survey, I study the intergenerational transmission of alcohol use within a rational model of trait transmission. Transmission is predominantly same‐sex: the mother–daughter elasticity is 0.10 and the father–son elasticity is 0.09; there is no father–daughter effect.
Sergey Alexeev
wiley +1 more source
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller
semanticscholar +1 more source
Inconsistency of the Capital Asset Pricing Model in a Multi‐Currency Environment
ABSTRACT The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is a widely adopted model in asset pricing theory and portfolio construction because of its intuitive nature. One of its main conclusions is that there exists a global market portfolio that each rational investor should hold in proportion to the risk‐free asset. In this paper, we demonstrate theoretically
Khalifa Al‐Thani +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Brexit and Its Impact on EU Financial Markets
ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of Brexit on volatility spillovers across the EU countries. We introduce a Brexit intensity measure that assigns an intensity score reflective of the financial markets' reaction to the events that occurred as Brexit negotiations began to unfold.
Marwan Izzeldin +3 more
wiley +1 more source

