Fiscal Cyclicality and Debt Sustainability: Evidence From Over a Century of Data
ABSTRACT Using a historical fiscal dataset for a group of 11 economies over the period 1880–2022, we examine debt sustainability and fiscal policy cyclicality and assess the factors influencing fiscal behaviour. We find that positive and statistically significant responses of primary balances to debt emerge in specific historical episodes and ...
Christos Chrysanthakopoulos +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Critical misalignments in climate pledges reveal imbalanced sustainable development pathways. [PDF]
Larosa F +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
Global Oil and Gas Stocks: Anomalies, Systematic Risks and Mispricing
ABSTRACT We analyse anomaly and factor risk premia in the global oil and gas (OG) sector, which plays a central role in the global economy through its importance for energy supply, industrial production, and capital markets. Using firm‐level and portfolio data, we examine whether cross‐sectional return patterns reflect systematic risk compensation or ...
Nader Virk +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Policy and discursive shifts in China's economic diplomacy amid rising geopolitical tensions. [PDF]
Szüdi G +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
When Politics Meets Money: Geopolitical Risk and Money Demand in the US and Euro Area
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the impact of geopolitical risk on real money demand in the United States and the Euro Area using Divisia monetary aggregates. To account for the potential instability of money demand and the complex nature of geopolitical shocks, we employ a comprehensive empirical framework combining linear and non‐linear ...
Anirban Sengupta +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Asymmetric Long‐Run Effects of Monetary Policy on Generational Inequality
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the asymmetric long‐run effects of reversing contractionary monetary policy to expansionary policy on generational inequality in the UK using non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL). The results show that there exists a long‐term relationship between monetary policy and income, consumption, and wealth ...
Aminat A. Raheem
wiley +1 more source
Climate change and budget cuts: Facing the <i>Aedes</i> and <i>Anopheles</i> challenges together. [PDF]
MacDonald M.
europepmc +1 more source
The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Stock Price Crash Risk
ABSTRACT This study examines the impact of monetary policy shocks (MPS) on future stock price crash risk (SPCR), using a sample of US firms from 1995 to 2019. We find that expansionary MPS significantly reduce the likelihood of SPCR, while contractionary MPS show no statistically significant effect on SPCR. These results remain robust after controlling
Shunshun Xu, Haifeng Guo, Yeqin Zeng
wiley +1 more source
African experiments in infrastructure financialisation: an urbanisation of debt in Malawi. [PDF]
Lane M, Mwathunga E, Robinson J.
europepmc +1 more source
Heating the Inflation Inequality in Greece
ABSTRACT The aim of the current study is twofold. First, we assess the household inflation inequality in Greece not only across different income groups but also across other households' social and economic characteristics, such as occupational status and household composition, among others.
Stavros Degiannakis +2 more
wiley +1 more source

