Results 201 to 210 of about 97,943 (327)

Downscaling down under

open access: yes
IPCC reports, to date, have not featured ambitious mitigation scenarios with degrowth in high-income regions. Here, using MESSAGEix-Australia, we create 51 emissions scenarios for Australia with near-term GDP growth going from +3%/year to rapid reductions (-5%/year) to explore how a traditional integrated assessment model (IAM) represents degrowth from
Kikstra, Jarmo S.||   +8 more
openaire   +1 more source

Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Phenology of migrating game birds in Italy based on citizen science data

open access: yesWildlife Biology, EarlyView.
Studying the timing of the seasonal movements of migratory birds, known as migration phenology, is crucial for managing and conserving migratory bird populations. This is particularly important for migratory game bird populations in Europe because, according to the EU, migratory birds should not be hunted during their breeding season or during return ...
Susan E. McKinlay   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Changes of Potential Suitable Areas for Lynx Under Climate Change in Mohe Area, Daxing'anling Mountains, China

open access: yesWildlife Letters, EarlyView.
Climate change drives shifts in suitable habitats for Eurasian lynx and its prey (hare, roe deer) in Mohe, Daxing'anling Mountains. Under RCP scenarios, moderate warming (RCP4.5) promotes substantial habitat expansion, while high‐emission conditions (RCP8.5) lead to strong expansion in the 2050s but slower gains and partial contraction by the 2070s ...
Binglian Liu   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Spatial overlap and temporal synchrony between guilds of insect hosts and parasitoids

open access: yesJournal of Animal Ecology, EarlyView.
This study identified a spatial overlap between insect host guild richness and parasitoid richness. Species richness in parasitoid guilds always increased later in the season than richness of their host guilds. These findings suggest that shifts in climate and land‐use may alter the synchrony of insect trophic layers.
Laura J. A. van Dijk   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

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