Results 51 to 60 of about 843 (186)
Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We show that undercapitalized banks with large holdings of government bonds subject to sovereign default risk lead to a new crowding‐out channel: deficit‐financed fiscal stimuli lead to higher bond yields, triggering capital losses for the banks. Banks then cut back loans, which reduces fiscal multipliers.
CHRISTIAAN VAN DER KWAAK +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Estimating Structural Shocks with the GVAR-DSGE Model: Pre- and Post-Pandemic
Mathematics, 2022 This paper investigates the possibility of using the global VAR (GVAR) model to estimate a simple New Keynesian DSGE-type multi-country model. The long-run forecasts from an estimated GVAR model were used to calculate the steady-states of macro variables
Chunyeung Kwok
doaj +1 more source
Interest Rate Pegs and the Reversal Puzzle: On the Role of Anticipation
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We revisit the reversal puzzle: a counterintuitive contraction of inflation in response to an interest rate peg. We show that its occurrence is intimately related to the degree of agents' anticipation. If agents perfectly anticipate the peg, reversals occur depending on the duration of the peg.
RAFAEL GERKE +2 more
wiley +1 more source
DSGE Forecasts of the Lost Recovery [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018 The years following the Great Recession were challenging for forecasters. Unlike other deep downturns, this recession was not followed by a swift recovery, but generated a sizable and persistent output gap that was not accompanied by deflation as a traditional Phillips curve relationship would have predicted.
Cai, Michael +5 more
openaire +2 more sources
Model Validation and DSGE Modeling
Econometrics, 2022 The primary objective of this paper is to revisit DSGE models with a view to bringing out their key weaknesses, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting performance, and ...
Niraj Poudyal, Aris Spanos
doaj +1 more source
CBDC as Imperfect Substitute to Bank Deposits: A Macroeconomic Perspective
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract The impact of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is analyzed in a closed‐economy model with monopolistic competition in banking and where CBDC is an imperfect substitute with bank deposits. The design of CBDC is characterized by its interest rate, its substitutability with bank deposits, and its relative liquidity.
PHILIPPE BACCHETTA, ELENA PERAZZI
wiley +1 more source
Online estimation of DSGE models [PDF]
The Econometrics Journal, 2019 Summary This paper illustrates the usefulness of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in approximating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model posterior distributions. We show how the tempering schedule can be chosen adaptively, document the accuracy and runtime benefits of generalized data tempering for ‘online’ estimation ...
Michael Cai +5 more
openaire +2 more sources
The Impact of Fiscal Dominance on Inflation Rate in Iran Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model [PDF]
پژوهشهای اقتصادی, 2014 In this paper, we design a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to investigate effects of fiscal dominance on inflation rate in Iran and solve it by calibration method. In order to getting reliable results, the second-order moments of main
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doaj
Entropy, 2020 Assessment of welfare effects of macroprudential policy seems the most important application of the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) framework of macro-modelling.
Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa, Mateusz Pipień
doaj +1 more source
Policy Biases in a Model with Labor‐Market Frictions
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We develop a model with labor‐market matching frictions that is subject to a range of shocks, including shocks to matching efficiency and bargaining power, and use the model to examine how monetary policy should respond to such shocks. We show that optimal monetary policy responds effectively to these shocks, producing economic outcomes that ...
RICHARD DENNIS, TATIANA KIRSANOVA
wiley +1 more source