Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2016 Robust appraisals of climate impacts at different levels of global-mean temperature increase are vital to guide assessments of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The 2015 Paris Agreement includes a two-headed temperature goal: "
C.-F. Schleussner +12 more
doaj +1 more source
AI-based tracking of fast-moving alpine landforms using high-frequency monoscopic time-lapse imagery [PDF]
Earth Surface DynamicsActive rock glaciers and landslides are dynamic landforms in high mountain environments, where their geomorphic activity can pose significant hazards, especially in densely populated regions such as the European Alps.
H. Hendrickx +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018 [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2019 Several major storms pounded western Europe in January 2018, generating large damages and casualties. The two most impactful ones, Eleanor and Friederike, are analysed here in the context of climate change.
R. Vautard +12 more
doaj +1 more source
Physics of AMOC multistable regime shifts due to freshwater biases in an EMIC [PDF]
Earth System DynamicsThe Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), an important circulation system that modulates the global climate, has been identified as a potential tipping element.
A. A. Boot +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Terminology as a key uncertainty in net land use and land cover change carbon flux estimates [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2014 Reasons for the large uncertainty in land use and land cover change (LULCC) emissions go beyond recognized issues related to the available data on land cover change and the fact that model simulations rely on a simplified and incomplete description of ...
J. Pongratz +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Impacts of future agricultural change on ecosystem service indicators [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2020 A future of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, changing climate, growing human populations, and shifting socioeconomic conditions means that the global agricultural system will need to adapt in order to feed the world.
S. S. Rabin +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Use of simple analytical solutions in the calibration of shallow water equation debris flow models [PDF]
Earth Surface DynamicsModelling debris flow propagation requires numerical models able to describe the main characteristics of the flow, such as velocity or inundation extent. Due to the complex physics involved, every model is dependent on a set of parameters whose influence
R. Bonomelli, M. Pilotti, G. Farina
doaj +1 more source
Complementing CO2 emission reduction by solar radiation management might strongly enhance future welfare [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2019 Solar radiation management (SRM) has been proposed as a means to reduce global warming in spite of high greenhouse-gas concentrations and to lower the chance of warming-induced tipping points.
K. G. Helwegen +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6 [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2020 Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically relied on making assumptions about forced changes in the mean and ...
F. Lehner +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2 °C futures [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2017 The Paris Agreement of December 2015 stated a goal to pursue efforts to keep global temperatures below 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels and well below 2 °C.
B. M. Sanderson +12 more
doaj +1 more source