Results 31 to 40 of about 8,695 (306)
An Adaptive Evolutionary Causal Dynamic Factor Model
Background: With COVID-19 having a significant impact on economic activity, it has become difficult for the existing dynamic factor models (nowcasting models) to forecast macroeconomics with high accuracy.
Qian Wei, Heng-Guo Zhang
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Optimal fiscal policies in booms and recessions: a case study for Slovenia
Optimal fiscal policies are determined for Slovenia for the next few years under alternative assumptions about global developments. We construct a baseline scenario, two scenarios with a recession and two with a boom, each with a demand side and a supply
Dmitri Blueschke +3 more
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Determinants of Unemployment Rate in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach
Unemployment is a common problem faced by developing countries such as Indonesia. As one of the indicators of economic development, unemployment has a complex nature and has an impact on various aspects.
Siti Rizqiyatul Munawaroh +3 more
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The effectiveness of fiscal policy: contributions from institutions and external debts [PDF]
Purpose – The effectiveness of fiscal policy is an interesting field in literature of macroeconomics. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of fiscal policy on economic growth under contributions from the differences in institutions and
Nguyen Phuc Canh
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Paul Samuelson’s ways to macroeconomic dynamics [PDF]
Samuelson kept optimisation-based problems separated from macroeconomic dynamics in his Foundations, where dynamics was defined in terms of difference and differential equations.
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ABSTRACT This study investigates the impact of geographical indication (GI) certification on the export performance of Turkish agri‐food products by analyzing both trade volume and unit value dynamics. Drawing on monthly data from 2000 to 2024 across 22 GI‐certified products, the research employs product‐level regressions, fixed‐effects panel models ...
Ihlas Sovbetov, Muge Burcu Ozdemir
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Backslanted 'X' Fertility Dynamics and Macroeconomics [PDF]
A large number of pairs of countries exhibit a dynamic pattern in which: (1) Fertility in both countries declines across time; (2) initially, one country has a higher fertility and a lower per-capita income than the other; and (3) in time, as per-capita incomes converge, fertility rates in the poorer country become lower than in the richer one.
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Understanding Egg Price Volatility and Policy Implications in the U.S. With Machine Learning
ABSTRACT Eggs are an inexpensive and sustainable source of proteins, but volatility in the U.S. egg prices has intensified in recent years, raising concerns over food affordability and market stability. This study examines the drivers of U.S. egg price dynamics over 2004–2025 using a two‐stage framework that combines LASSO‐based variable selection with
Xuemei Zhao +3 more
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This paper considers the impact of global risk aversion and domestic macroeconomic factors on the dynamic conditional correlations between the South African stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets.
Kelleb Mloyi, Edson Vengesai
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Assessing the Effects of Oil Revenue Investment Policies on Macroeconomics Variables in Iran: the Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach [PDF]
The main objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of oil revenue, productivity and money growth rate shocks in macro-economic variables, in the context of a DSGE model with features such as the needs of infrastructure development and the ...
Mohammad Sayadi, Javid Bahrami
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