Results 241 to 247 of about 29,537 (247)
Seasonal Decomposition‐Enhanced Deep Learning Architecture for Probabilistic Forecasting
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Time series decomposition as a general preprocessing method has been widely used in the field of time series forecasting. However, since the future is unknown, this preprocessing practice is limited in realistic forecasting, especially in real‐time forecasting scenarios.
Keyan Jin +1 more
wiley +1 more source
UK Forecasts of Annual GDP: Their Accuracy and the Information Categories Underlying Their Revisions
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Policy makers are concerned with the accuracy of GDP forecasts and want to understand the reasons for the revision of forecasts. We study these issues by examining forecasts of annual UK GDP growth by a panel of agents, published monthly by HM Treasury. We focus on two main issues: the developing accuracy of the group‐mean forecast as horizons
Nigel Meade, Ciaran Driver
wiley +1 more source
When Are Statistical Forecast Gains Economically Relevant? Evidence From Bitcoin Returns
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study how statistical forecast gains for Bitcoin translate into trading profits. Using real‐time out‐of‐sample forecasts from daily bivariate VARs from October 2021 to February 2024, we show that Bitcoin returns are forecastable and that seven predictive indices yield significant gains in directional accuracy (DA).
Rehan Arain, Stephen Snudden
wiley +1 more source