Results 201 to 210 of about 28,205 (317)

Threshold MIDAS Forecasting of Canadian Inflation Rate

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose several threshold mixed data sampling (TMIDAS) autoregressive models to forecast the Canadian inflation rate using predictors observed at different frequencies. These models take two low‐frequency variables and a high‐frequency index as threshold variables.
Chaoyi Chen, Yiguo Sun, Yao Rao
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting With Machine Learning Shadow‐Rate VARs

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Interest rates are fundamental in macroeconomic modeling. Recent studies integrate the effective lower bound (ELB) into vector autoregressions (VARs). This paper studies shadow‐rate VARs by using interest rates as a latent variable near the ELB to estimate their shadow‐rate values.
Michael Grammatikopoulos
wiley   +1 more source

A Novel Approach to Regionalize Country‐Level GDP Projections

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Socioeconomic projections are policy support tools that are often limited to country‐level data, making them insufficient for policy areas that require a more nuanced, sub‐national perspective. For granular geographical analyses in a multicountry setting, international organizations often rely on straightforward regionalization techniques ...
Riccardo Curtale   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Carbon Prices: A Literature Review

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Carbon emissions trading is utilized by a growing number of states as a significant tool for addressing greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), global warming problem and the climate crisis. Accurate forecasting of carbon prices is essential for effective policy design and investment strategies in climate change mitigation.
Konstantinos Bisiotis   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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