Scaling‐Aware Rating of Poisson‐Limited Demand Forecasts
ABSTRACT Forecast quality should be assessed in the context of what is possible in theory and what is reasonable to expect in practice. Often, one can identify an approximate upper bound to a probabilistic forecast's sharpness, which sets a lower, not necessarily achievable, limit to error metrics.
Malte C. Tichy +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Exploring the Drivers of Food Waste Across EU Member States: A Socio-Economic and Environmental Perspective. [PDF]
Aleksanyan V +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Stock Portfolio Management Based on AI Technology
ABSTRACT Forecasting stock performance is crucial for formulating a profitable trading approach aimed at achieving significant gains. In addition, prediction results serve as essential prerequisites for creating and optimizing active investment portfolios.
Alejandro Moreno Alonso +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Analysis of the spatiotemporal evolution and drivers of agricultural carbon emissions: evidence from provincial-level regions of China. [PDF]
Yuan Z, Wu R, Fang W, Liu Y.
europepmc +1 more source
Econometric-Process Models for Integrated Assessment of Agricultural Production Systems
John M. Antle, Susan M. Capalbo
openalex +2 more sources
ABSTRACT Accurate predictions of carbon prices are essential for efficient administration and stable operation of carbon markets. Previous studies have mostly focused on point or interval predictions based on point‐valued data. These approaches insufficiently capture the full extent of market volatility.
Di Sha +4 more
wiley +1 more source
What are the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics and driving factors of the coupling coordination degree between green finance and ecological efficiency? Evidence from 84 cities in western China. [PDF]
Ma D +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Validating Explainer Methods: A Functionally Grounded Approach for Numerical Forecasting
ABSTRACT Forecasting systems have a long tradition in providing outputs accompanied by explanations. While the vast majority of such explanations relies on inherently interpretable linear statistical models, research has put forth eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods to improve the comprehensibility of nonlinear machine learning models. As
Felix Haag +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A Novel Approach to Forecasting After Large Forecast Errors
ABSTRACT A sequence of increasingly large same‐sign 1‐step‐ahead forecast errors are most likely due to a sudden unexpected shift. Large forecast errors can be expensive, but also contain valuable information. Impulse indicators acting as intercept corrections to set forecasts back on track can be quickly tested for replacing outliers, a location shift
Jennifer L. Castle +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Identifying delayed human response to external risks: an econometric analysis of mobility change during a pandemic. [PDF]
Zhang G +4 more
europepmc +1 more source

