Results 301 to 310 of about 424,798 (360)

When Are Statistical Forecast Gains Economically Relevant? Evidence From Bitcoin Returns

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study how statistical forecast gains for Bitcoin translate into trading profits. Using real‐time out‐of‐sample forecasts from daily bivariate VARs from October 2021 to February 2024, we show that Bitcoin returns are forecastable and that seven predictive indices yield significant gains in directional accuracy (DA).
Rehan Arain, Stephen Snudden
wiley   +1 more source

Mortality Forecasting Using Variational Inference

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper considers the problem of forecasting mortality rates. A large number of models have already been proposed for this task, but they generally have the disadvantage of either estimating the model in a two‐step process, possibly losing efficiency, or relying on methods that are cumbersome for the practitioner to use.
Patrik Andersson, Mathias Lindholm
wiley   +1 more source

Beyond just correlation: causal machine learning for the microbiome, from prediction to health policy with econometric tools. [PDF]

open access: yesFront Microbiol
Khelfaoui I   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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