Results 241 to 250 of about 23,089,259 (324)

The longitudinal relationship between tourism, electricity consumption, and CO₂ emissions.

Heliyon
Munir R, Abbas T, Waseem LA, Sheng J, Jing W, Abid M, Ahmad M, Okla MK.   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

When Are Statistical Forecast Gains Economically Relevant? Evidence From Bitcoin Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study how statistical forecast gains for Bitcoin translate into trading profits. Using real‐time out‐of‐sample forecasts from daily bivariate VARs from October 2021 to February 2024, we show that Bitcoin returns are forecastable and that seven predictive indices yield significant gains in directional accuracy (DA).
Rehan Arain, Stephen Snudden
wiley   +1 more source

Keeping Faith with Homoskedasticity or Going Back to Heteroskedasticity? The Case of Fatang Stocks

, 2021
Curto JD.
europepmc   +1 more source

Mortality Forecasting Using Variational Inference

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper considers the problem of forecasting mortality rates. A large number of models have already been proposed for this task, but they generally have the disadvantage of either estimating the model in a two‐step process, possibly losing efficiency, or relying on methods that are cumbersome for the practitioner to use.
Patrik Andersson, Mathias Lindholm
wiley   +1 more source

Economic Causes ofDeforestation in the Brazilian Amazon: an Empirical Analysis of the2000s [PDF]

Jorge Hargrave Gonçalves da Silva
core  

A Fuzzy Framework for Realized Volatility Prediction: Empirical Evidence From Equity Markets

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study introduces a realized volatility fuzzy time series (RV‐FTS) model that applies a fuzzy c‐means clustering algorithm to estimate time‐varying c$$ c $$ latent volatility states and their corresponding membership degrees. These memberships are used to construct a fuzzified volatility estimate as a weighted average of cluster centroids.
Shafqat Iqbal, Štefan Lyócsa
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting New Employment Using Nonrepresentative Online Job Advertisements With an Application to the Italian and EU Labor Market

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Using online job advertisement data improves the timeliness and granularity depth of analysis in the labor market in domains not covered by official data. Specifically, its variation over time may be used as an anticipator of official employment variations.
Pietro Giorgio Lovaglio, Mario Mezzanzanica   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Comparison of Realized Measures of Integrated Volatility: Price Duration‐ vs. Return‐Based Approaches

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the accuracy of a variety of parametric price duration‐based realized variance estimators constructed via various financial duration models and compare their forecasting performance with the performance of various nonparametric return‐based realized variance estimators.
Björn Schulte‐Tillmann, Mawuli Segnon, Timo Wiedemann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Machine Learning Approaches to Forecast the Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Prices

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents an evaluation of the accuracy of machine learning (ML) techniques in forecasting the realized volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices. We compare several ML algorithms, including regularization, regression trees, random forests, and neural networks, to several heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models ...
Talha Omer, Kristofer Månsson, Pär Sjölander, Gazi Salah Uddin   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley   +1 more source