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Economic Policy Uncertainty, Political Uncertainty and the Greek Economic Crisis
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018We use textual analysis to construct an index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for Greece from 1/1998 to 12/2017, similar to other international EPU indices. We also construct indices of political uncertainty (POLU) and economic uncertainty (EU), plus EPU sub-indices related to fiscal policy (EPUF), monetary policy (EPUM), banking (EPUB), currency ...
Gikas A. Hardouvelis +3 more
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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Household Inflation Uncertainty
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2016AbstractHow does uncertainty about economic policy translate into uncertainty about macroeconomic outcomes, in particular inflation? New measures of consumer inflation uncertainty are compared to the economic and monetary policy uncertainty indices of [Baker, S., N. Bloom, and S. Davis. 2016. “Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty.”
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1996
The title of this chapter was given to me by the editors of this volume. Whether they intended it or not, it is open to two interpretations: the treatment of uncertainty within economics, or the present uncertainty within the profession as to the appropriate treatment of uncertainty in economics. I shall interpret it in both ways. The schizophrenic
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The title of this chapter was given to me by the editors of this volume. Whether they intended it or not, it is open to two interpretations: the treatment of uncertainty within economics, or the present uncertainty within the profession as to the appropriate treatment of uncertainty in economics. I shall interpret it in both ways. The schizophrenic
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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Momentum
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018AbstractWe show that a news‐based measure of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) negatively forecasts momentum. A 1‐standard‐deviation increase in EPU is associated with a 1.11% decrease in risk‐adjusted momentum returns. The predictive power of EPU is robust after controlling for previously documented economic state variables and macroeconomic ...
Ming Gu +3 more
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Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1970
K. J. Arrow, Karl Henrik Borch
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K. J. Arrow, Karl Henrik Borch
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Botnet Economics: Uncertainty Matters
2008Botnets have become an increasing security concern in today’s Internet. Thus far the mitigation to botnet attacks is a never ending arms race focusing on technical approaches. In this chapter, we model botnet-related cybercrimes as a result of profit-maximizing decision-making from the perspectives of both botnet masters and renters/attackers.
Zhen Li 0025 +2 more
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Lotfi A. Zadeh and Economic Uncertainty
2013One particular day whose date I cannot specify, which would have been in the interval [1968-1970], I received a call from Professor Kaufmann advising me the following: “I have mailed you a work from Professor Lotfi A. Zadeh which I believe is worth studying”.
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Uncertainty and Estimation in Economics
Revue économique, 1972Richard Stone, D. G. Champernowne
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Economic recovery and policy uncertainty [PDF]
, 2012 Until some political mechanism creates incentives to elect moderate representatives who can reach across the ideological divide, the US seems destined to heightened levels of policy uncertainty for many years to come. Some research suggests that such uncertainty, particularly over economic policy, partly explains the sluggish nature of the recovery in ...
Scott R. Baker +3 more
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