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MODELING OF ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY [PDF]
Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities (including Monte Carlo simulation), interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple and quadruple esti-mates.
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Evaluating tail risks for the US economic policy uncertainty [PDF]
The goal of this paper is to employ a relatively new methodological approach to extract quantile-based economic policy uncertainty risk forecasts using the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Mixed-Frequency Data Sampling (QADL-MIDAS) regression ...
Apergis, Nicholas
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Embracing Uncertainty During the Crisis [PDF]
The purpose of this paper is to emphasize the impact of uncertainty over the economic environment in the current crisis installed within the COVID-19 pandemic that is unprecedented because there has never been a phenomenon of such magnitude, a global ...
Maria Alina Carataș +2 more
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Economic Uncertainty and Fertility [PDF]
Der Zusammenhang von okonomischer Unsicherheit und Geburtenentwicklung ist ein Themenfeld, das gleichermasen von soziologischer wie auch von demografischer Bedeutung ist. Obwohl theoretische Uberlegungen zumeist der „burgerlichen Uberzeugung“ verhaftet geblieben sind, dass okonomische Unsicherheiten sich negativ auf das Geburtenverhalten niederschlagen
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Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Household Consumption in Iran: A Provincial Dynamic Panel GMM Analysis [PDF]
In recent years, the Iranian economy has been subject to severe fluctuations in macroeconomic indicators such as inflation rate, exchange rate, and economic growth.
Behnaz Gorgich Moghaddam +2 more
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Economic policy uncertainty and acquisition performance: Australian evidence
We investigate the influence of economic policy uncertainty on the market valuation of acquisitions undertaken by Australian firms, finding a negative association between economic policy uncertainty and abnormal returns earned by acquirers.
Velayutham, Eswaran +5 more
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Sensitivity of Firms' Investment to Uncertainty and Cash Flow [PDF]
Objective One of the most important financial decisions companies make is investment decisions. The purpose of investment decisions is to obtain a higher return, and to obtain a suitable return through investment, accurate knowledge of the effective ...
Taher Porkavosh +2 more
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1. The loss or threat of losing a job may have profound physiological, psychological, and behavioral effects on employees. 2. Middle aged men deteriorate more in the first year after losing a job than younger or older men. 3. It is important that unemployed people make a commitment to purposeful activity and see work in a broader definition. 4. Parents
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Uncertainty and the ranking of economics journals [PDF]
AbstractJournal rankings often show significant changes compared to previous rankings. This gives rise to the question of how well estimated the rank of a journal is. In this contribution, we consider uncertainty in a ranking of economics journals. We use the invariant method of Pinski and Narin to rank the journals.
Johan Lyhagen, Per Ahlgren
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Natives’ and immigrants’ fertility intentions in Europe: the role of employment
In several European countries, births to immigrant women represent more than 10% of all births [Sobotka 2008]; however, there is evidence showing that in the aftermath of the Great Recession migrants’ fertility might have fallen more pronouncedly among ...
Giammarco Alderotti +3 more
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