Results 91 to 100 of about 5,003 (230)

Continuities in Policies and Turnover Among Actors: Instrument Constituencies in French Primary Care Reforms

open access: yesEuropean Policy Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Over the past decade, the concept of “instrument constituency” has been proposed as a way in which to bridge studies on policy networks and policy instruments. This concept focuses on policy networks composed of diverse actors who are brought together by the shared goal of promoting a specific instrument.
Noémie Morize
wiley   +1 more source

UK Forecasts of Annual GDP: Their Accuracy and the Information Categories Underlying Their Revisions

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Policy makers are concerned with the accuracy of GDP forecasts and want to understand the reasons for the revision of forecasts. We study these issues by examining forecasts of annual UK GDP growth by a panel of agents, published monthly by HM Treasury. We focus on two main issues: the developing accuracy of the group‐mean forecast as horizons
Nigel Meade, Ciaran Driver
wiley   +1 more source

When Are Statistical Forecast Gains Economically Relevant? Evidence From Bitcoin Returns

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study how statistical forecast gains for Bitcoin translate into trading profits. Using real‐time out‐of‐sample forecasts from daily bivariate VARs from October 2021 to February 2024, we show that Bitcoin returns are forecastable and that seven predictive indices yield significant gains in directional accuracy (DA).
Rehan Arain, Stephen Snudden
wiley   +1 more source

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