Results 41 to 50 of about 11,730 (214)
Financial Time Series Uncertainty: A Review of Probabilistic AI Applications
ABSTRACT Probabilistic machine learning models offer a distinct advantage over traditional deterministic approaches by quantifying both epistemic uncertainty (stemming from limited data or model knowledge) and aleatoric uncertainty (due to inherent randomness in the data), along with full distributional forecasts.
Sivert Eggen +4 more
wiley +1 more source
The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey
ABSTRACT This survey synthesizes evidence on the bidirectional links between commodity markets and monetary policy. On the commodities‐to‐policy side, we review how shocks to energy, food, and metals pass through to inflation, inflation expectations, economic activity, and financial stability in state‐dependent ways that vary by shock type, exposure ...
Martin T. Bohl +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Information‐Driven Modeling of Energy Markets: An Unbalanced Wasserstein Barycenter Approach
ABSTRACT A novel methodology is proposed for jointly modeling the price dynamics of natural gas and electricity by integrating graph‐based Machine Learning and optimal transport theory. The framework combines visibility graph embeddings with the Wasserstein barycenter to uncover latent structures and asymmetric dependencies between the two ...
Carlo Mari +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A new method for estimating liquidity and stock returns in Indian stock market
This study aims to explore the impact of systematic liquidity risk on the averaged cross-sectional equity return of the Indian equity market. It also examines the effects of illiquidity and decomposed illiquidity on the conditional volatility of the ...
Tapas Kumar Sethy, Naliniprava Tripathy
doaj +1 more source
This study examines the volatility transmission between the currency market and the stock market of Pakistan in the presence of structural breaks. For this purpose, daily data from the stock market and currency market is analyzed.
Muhammad Jamil , Hifsa Mobeen
doaj +1 more source
ABSTRACT Investors have long recognized the importance of firms in promoting sustainability, leading to the rise of socially responsible investment (SRI). Specifically, there is a growing preference for exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.
Sandra Tenorio‐Salgueiro +3 more
wiley +1 more source
World Gold Price Forecast using APARCH, EGARCH and TGARCH Model
Investment is a process of investing money for profit or material result. One investment commodity is gold. Gold is a precious metal in which the value tends to fluctuate over time.
Yanne Irene +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting Carbon Prices: A Literature Review
ABSTRACT Carbon emissions trading is utilized by a growing number of states as a significant tool for addressing greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), global warming problem and the climate crisis. Accurate forecasting of carbon prices is essential for effective policy design and investment strategies in climate change mitigation.
Konstantinos Bisiotis +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes [PDF]
The paper develops two Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) models, namely the Wishart DCC (wDCC) model. The paper applies the wDCC approach to the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) and GJR models to propose asymmetric DCC models.
Manabu Asai, Michael McAleer
core +3 more sources
Estimating Volatility and Investment Risk: An Empirical Case Study for NIFTY MIDCAP 50 Index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India [PDF]
This study evaluates performance of Indian index considering NIFTY MIDCAP 50 index daily series returns. Autoregressive model EGARCH forecasts the volatility predictability and empirically analyze volatility pattern considering daily returns from NIFTY ...
Ramona Birau +2 more
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