Results 41 to 50 of about 886 (182)

World Gold Price Forecast using APARCH, EGARCH and TGARCH Model

open access: yesInPrime, 2020
Investment is a process of investing money for profit or material result. One investment commodity is gold. Gold is a precious metal in which the value tends to fluctuate over time.
Yanne Irene   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Volatility spillover between stock market and currency market of Pakistan in the presence of structural breaks

open access: yesBusiness Review, 2022
This study examines the volatility transmission between the currency market and the stock market of Pakistan in the presence of structural breaks. For this purpose, daily data from the stock market and currency market is analyzed.
Muhammad Jamil , Hifsa Mobeen
doaj   +1 more source

Financial Time Series Uncertainty: A Review of Probabilistic AI Applications

open access: yesJournal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 915-953, April 2026.
ABSTRACT Probabilistic machine learning models offer a distinct advantage over traditional deterministic approaches by quantifying both epistemic uncertainty (stemming from limited data or model knowledge) and aleatoric uncertainty (due to inherent randomness in the data), along with full distributional forecasts.
Sivert Eggen   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Estimating Volatility and Investment Risk: An Empirical Case Study for NIFTY MIDCAP 50 Index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India [PDF]

open access: yesOvidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series, 2021
This study evaluates performance of Indian index considering NIFTY MIDCAP 50 index daily series returns. Autoregressive model EGARCH forecasts the volatility predictability and empirically analyze volatility pattern considering daily returns from NIFTY ...
Ramona Birau   +2 more
doaj  

المقارنة بين نماذج EGARCH والشبكات العصبية الاصطناعية في قياس أثر المخاطر المنتظمة على المؤشر العام لسوق الأوراق المالية في مصر [PDF]

open access: yesThe Egyptian Statistical Journal, 2014
The main objective of this paper is to make a comparison between an EGARCH models and artificial neural networks approach in measuring the impact of systematic risk on the stock market index in Egypt.
ماهر احمد علي
doaj   +1 more source

The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey

open access: yesJournal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 1050-1082, April 2026.
ABSTRACT This survey synthesizes evidence on the bidirectional links between commodity markets and monetary policy. On the commodities‐to‐policy side, we review how shocks to energy, food, and metals pass through to inflation, inflation expectations, economic activity, and financial stability in state‐dependent ways that vary by shock type, exposure ...
Martin T. Bohl   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices in Nigeria

open access: yesStudies in Business and Economics, 2018
Since macroeconomic fundamentals have been found to play a vital role for changes in the economy of a country. Consequently, the onus is on the appropriate regulatory authorities to take measures in making amendments in these policies to put the economy ...
Ditimi Amassoma, Ifeoluwa Bolarinwa
doaj   +1 more source

Price Volatility Spillover in Agricultural Markets: An Examination of U.S. Catfish Markets

open access: yesJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2003
Price volatility spillovers in the U.S. catfish supply chain are analyzed based on monthly price data from 1980 through 2000 for catfish feed, its ingredients, and farm- and wholesale-level catfish.
Cumhur Buguk   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Information‐Driven Modeling of Energy Markets: An Unbalanced Wasserstein Barycenter Approach

open access: yesApplied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, Volume 42, Issue 2, March/April 2026.
ABSTRACT A novel methodology is proposed for jointly modeling the price dynamics of natural gas and electricity by integrating graph‐based Machine Learning and optimal transport theory. The framework combines visibility graph embeddings with the Wasserstein barycenter to uncover latent structures and asymmetric dependencies between the two ...
Carlo Mari   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

THE IMPACT OF COVID 19 PANDEMIC ON THE TOURISM AND TRANSPORTATION SECTORS: EVIDENCE FROM BORSA ISTANBUL

open access: yesEkonomi Maliye İşletme Dergisi
The Covid-19 pandemic is recognized as one of the most important pandemics of the last century and has led to a global recession and decline, affecting all sectors in different ways. In this study, volatility spillovers between variables are analyzed. In
Erkan Alsu, İbrahim Halil Uçar
doaj   +1 more source

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