Results 131 to 140 of about 197,953 (292)
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley +1 more source
Similarities of discrete and continuous Sturm-Liouville problems
In this paper we present a study on the analogous properties of discrete and continuous Sturm-Liouville problems arising in matrix analysis and differential equations, respectively.
Kazem Ghanbari
doaj
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting Related Time Series
ABSTRACT A collection of time series are “related” if they follow similar stochastic processes and/or they are statistically dependent. This paper proposes a related time series (RTS) forecasting model that exploits these relationships. The model's foundation is a set of univariate Gaussian autoregressions, one for each series, which are then augmented
Ulrich K. Müller, Mark W. Watson
wiley +1 more source
Design of multivariable feedback control systems via spectral assignment using reduced-order models and reduced-order observers [PDF]
The feasibility of using reduced order models and reduced order observers with eigenvalue/eigenvector assignment procedures is investigated. A review of spectral assignment synthesis procedures is presented.
Carraway, P. I., III +2 more
core +1 more source
Revisiting EWMA in High‐Frequency‐Based Portfolio Optimization: A Comparative Assessment
ABSTRACT This paper compares the statistical and economic performance of state‐of‐the‐art high‐frequency (HF) based multivariate volatility models with a simpler, widely used alternative, the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) filter. Using over two decades of 100 U.S.
Laura Capera Romero, Anne Opschoor
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing á Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor‐augmented regressions. Factors are estimated using cross‐section averages (CAs) of grouped series and our theoretical findings are empirically relevant: asymptotic normality, robustness to an overspecification of the number of factors,
Alessandro Morico, Ovidijus Stauskas
wiley +1 more source
Daily bias‐correction aggregated to monthly scale preserves the cross‐correlation between precipitation and temperature better than direct monthly bias‐correction. The Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) method outperforms Quantile Regression (QR) and MACA, yielding lower bias and higher accuracy, highlighting its suitability for multivariate climate ...
Chingka Kalai +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Last‐minute coordination: Adapting to demand to support last‐mile operations
Abstract In the highly competitive e‐commerce industry, customer‐facing warehouses are crucial as the “order penetration points” for e‐commerce last‐mile operations. This research examines how warehouses use last‐minute coordination, an unstructured mechanism, to ensure sufficient inventory at the order penetration points. Previous research has focused
Kedong Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source

