ABSTRACT The June 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption resulted in a massive increase of sulfate aerosols in the atmosphere, absorbing radiation and leading to global changes in surface and stratospheric temperatures. A volcanic eruption of this magnitude serves as a natural analog for stratospheric aerosol injection, a proposed solar radiation modification ...
Robert C. Garrett +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Comparative Evaluation of Decadal Predictions of Global SST Between CMIP5 and CMIP6 Datasets
This study provides systematic evaluations of SST predictions across the North Pacific, North Atlantic, Indian Ocean, and tropical eastern Pacific were conducted using CMIP5 and CMIP6 datasets. While advancements in prediction accuracy were not prominently observed from CMIP5 to CMIP6 in the North Pacific and North Atlantic regions, significant ...
Mengting Pan +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Temporal variations in characteristics of the El Chichón stratospheric cloud
Durante el periodo comprendido desde abril hasta diciembre de 1982 se hicieron mediciones y muestreos in situ de la nube de la erupción de El Chichón, a 18 - 21 km de altitud, para examinar las características físicas y químicas de las partículas de ...
R.L. Chuan, D.C. Woods
doaj +1 more source
Long-term variations and trends in the simulation of the middle atmosphere 1980–2004 by the chemistry-climate model of the Meteorological Research Institute [PDF]
A middle-atmosphere simulation of the past 25 years (from 1980 to 2004) has been performed with a chemistry-climate model (CCM) of the Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) under observed forcings of sea-surface temperature, greenhouse gases, halogens,
K. Shibata, M. Deushi
core +2 more sources
Combination of Internal Variability and Forced Response Reconciles Observed 2023–2024 Warming
Abstract The record‐breaking global mean surface temperature (GMST) in 2023 and 2024 came as a surprise to the scientific community, raising the question whether it provides evidence for a recent abrupt increase in the forced global warming rate. Here, we provide a new statistical learning‐based method to quantify the forced and internal variability ...
G. Gyuleva, R. Knutti, S. Sippel
wiley +1 more source
Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Winter Precipitation Changes Over Central Asia
Abstract Winter Central Asian precipitation (WCAP) is increasingly replacing snowfall as a critical water resource under global warming. Observations show a decline in WCAP from 1891 to 1946, followed by a recovery from 1947 to the recent decade. However, the relative contributions of external forcing and internal variability to these changes remain ...
Mengyuan Yao, Haosu Tang, Gang Huang
wiley +1 more source
The sensitivity of EC-Earth3 decadal predictions to the choice of volcanic forcing dataset: insights for the next major eruption [PDF]
Large volcanic eruptions can have significant impacts on climate. Due to their unpredictable nature, when a major volcanic eruption occurs, decadal forecasts issued prior to the eruption will be inaccurate.
R. Bilbao +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Multi-Decadal Aerosol Variations from 1980 to 2009: A Perspective from Observations and a Global Model [PDF]
Aerosol variations and trends over different land and ocean regions during 1980-2009 are analyzed with the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model and observations from multiple satellite sensors and ground-based networks ...
Bian, H. +24 more
core +3 more sources
Satellite detection of the 1982 El Chichon eruptions and stratospheric dust cloud.
Las erupciones del volcán El Chichón del 28 de marzo y del 3 y el 4 de abril de 1982 fueron percibidas y observadas mediante los satélites ambientales geoestacionarios y de órbita polar.Con base en los datos de dichos satélites se concluyó que la ...
M. Matson, A. Robock
doaj +1 more source
Abstract Assessing Radiative Power (RP) output is essential for monitoring and understanding volcanic systems. While Mid‐Infrared channels are used to assess thermal outputs at volcanoes exhibiting effusive activity, Thermal‐InfraRed (TIR) bands are better suited for measuring moderate‐to‐low‐temperature (≲600 K) features, such as those associated with
Simone Aveni +4 more
wiley +1 more source

