Results 261 to 270 of about 5,685 (315)

By-election exit polls

Electoral Studies, 1986
With the rise of the Alliance parties, by-elections have become an important focus of the media’s coverage of the political scene in the UK. The television companies and newspapers regularly commission polls to predict the shares of the vote won by each party standing in the by-election.
Clive Payne, Philip Brown, Vincent Hanna
openaire   +1 more source

Polling and Prediction in the 2016 Presidential Election

Computer, 2017
In the wake of experts' failure to predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election, a rigorous analysis of what went right and wrong is needed to improve future polling. Despite claims that "data is dead," low-tech factors such as sampling errors and inaccurate likely-voter models were probably most responsible.
Nicholas A. Valentino, John Leslie King, Walter W. Hill   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

The Representativity of Election Polls

Statistics, Politics and Policy, 2017
Abstract Election polls are conducted in many countries during election campaigns. Provided such polls are set up and carried out correctly, they can give an accurate indication of the voting intentions of people. However, the last couple of years these polls seem to be less able to predict election results.
openaire   +1 more source

Polls and Elections: Preelection Poll Accuracy in the 2008 General Elections

Presidential Studies Quarterly, 2009
This report examines accuracy and bias in national and subnational preelection polls conducted during the 2008 presidential election cycle. The analyses indicate that, despite concerns about poll methodology voiced during the election cycle, polls across the board generally performed quite well in 2008.
openaire   +1 more source

Persuaded by the polls? Voter responses to election polling information

2023
Since the advent of election polling, scholars, practitioners, and public observers alike have long debated the potentially troubling normative effects of these polls, and election forecasts more generally, on voter behavior and, ultimately, on the outcomes of the elections that these polls ostensibly seek to forecast. While the debate remains ongoing,
openaire   +1 more source

The Polls and the 1944 Election

Public Opinion Quarterly, 1944
IN THE polling world, as in politics, a Presidential election is the great showdown. It is not simply that public interest in polling is highest at that time. Presidential elections, with all of their maze of factors, provide unparalleled opportunities for developing and testing techniques.
openaire   +1 more source

The German Elections in the Polls

Research World, 2017
Excellent Exit Polls – very revealing pre‐election ...
openaire   +1 more source

Election Polling and Research

Public Opinion Quarterly, 1957
Election studies, by both commercial and academic researchers, comprise one of the great continuities in American social research. They have contributed heavily to our knowledge about the psychology of voting, the social and economic structure of the country, the American political process, and the methodology of social research.
openaire   +1 more source

Polls and Elections: The Chicago Record Poll and the Election of 1896

Presidential Studies Quarterly, 2017
The Chicago Record poll of the presidential election of 1896 was an enormous, multistate mail survey. Unfortunately, its results were incredible. The newspaper attempted to correct the results, making perhaps the first ever attempt to deal with nonresponse bias, but did not have much success.
openaire   +1 more source

Don't Dismiss Digital Immigrants: Poll Workers and New Election Technologies

Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy, 2022
Stephanie L Dêmora
exaly