Results 141 to 150 of about 16,486 (304)
The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley +1 more source
Electoral Business Cycles in OECD Countries [PDF]
Studies of OECD countries have generally failed to detect real economic expansions in the pre-election period, casting doubt on the existence of opportunistic political business cycles.
Park, Jee-Kwang, Canes-Wrone, Brandice
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Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
The Effects of Electoral Institutions in Rwanda: Why Proportional Representation Supports the Authoritarian Regime [PDF]
While much has been written about the special design of Rwanda’s judiciary in order to handle the aftermath of the genocide in 1994, other institutional actions resulting from the 2003 constitution have rarely been addressed in research.
Alexander Stroh
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The International Journal of Health Planning and Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Rising numbers of refugees, prolonged displacement and reduced funding have led to challenges in terms of how to address their healthcare needs, with different approaches taken, ranging from parallel mechanisms to arrangements that are integrated (to different extents) within the national health system. Increasingly, global frameworks call for
Maria Paola Bertone +13 more
wiley +1 more source
Strategic ambiguity in electoral competition [PDF]
Many have observed that political candidates running for election are often purposefully expressing themselves in vague and ambiguous terms. In this paper we provide a simple formal model of this phenomenon. We model the electoral competition between two
Zvika Neeman, Enriqueta Aragonés
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The International Journal of Health Planning and Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Introduction Decentralisation is the transfer of authority from central to local governments, involving shared responsibilities in planning, management, and decision‐making. In public health, decentralisation might help improve service delivery by allowing local authorities to tailor interventions to the specific needs of diverse ...
Phonevilay Viphonephom +3 more
wiley +1 more source
The design of electoral rules and their impact on economic growth: the Italian case [PDF]
Economic Growth, Electoral System, Corruption, Public expenditure ...
M.Rosaria Alfano, A. Laura Baraldi
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International Journal of Cancer, EarlyView.Bisphosphonates are widely used to treat osteoporosis and to manage bone metastases in patients with breast cancer. Nitrogen‐based bisphosphonates may also broadly reduce cancer risk, but evidence remains inconsistent. This large population‐based data linkage study in women aged > 50 years found that, compared to no use of osteoporosis medicines ...
Karen M. Tuesley +7 more
wiley +1 more source
The Importance of the Electoral Rule: Evidence from Italy [PDF]
We employ bootstrap methods (Efron (1979)) to test the effect of an important electoral reform implemented in Italy from 1993 to 2001, that moved the system for electing the Par-liament from purely proportional to plurality rule (for 75% of the seats ...
Massimo Bordignon, Andrea Monticini
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