Results 11 to 20 of about 517 (257)
Choosing the Lesser Evil: Forecasting Presidential Elections in Peru
The Peruvian political landscape is dominated by the weakness of party organizations, the continuous rotation of political personalities, and, in turn, high electoral volatility and uncertainty.
Moisés Arce, Sofía Vera
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RESUMEN: Este artículo examina por qué algunas democracias y semidemocracias desarrollan sistemas de partidos relativamente estables, mientras que otras continúan envueltas en altos niveles de volatilidad electoral.
Scott MAINWARING, Edurne ZOCO
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Öst är öst och väst är väst? En jämförande studie av partisystemens stabilitet i Europa 2008–2019
East is East and West is West? Comparing Party System Stability in Europe 2008–2019 This article compares trends in party system stability in Central/ Eastern Europe (CEE) and Western Europe, to see if recent studies indicating that the two regions have ...
Andreas Bågenholm
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The Decline of Islamic Parties and the Dynamics of Party System in Post-Suharto Indonesia
This study aims to investigate the decline of Islamic parties in post-Suharto Indonesia and its correlation with changes in the electoral system. Using a mixed method, data on the post-Suharto election was analyzed quantitatively using the Pedersen ...
Asep Nurjaman
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Volatility and Electoral Shocks [PDF]
Abstract The General Elections of 2015 and 2017 marked a historically high level of volatility, both at the aggregate level and at the level of the individual voter. In this chapter we describe how this increased volatility is part of a long-term trend in British politics, but one which accelerated markedly after 2010.
Edward Fieldhouse +6 more
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Electoral volatility and the dynamics of electoral reform
AbstractRecent elections in Europe have shown that a context of increasing citizen distrust towards democratic institutions may lead to very high levels of electoral volatility and to the emergence of new parties. On the other hand, institutional reforms are sometimes presented as a solution to citizens’ discontent with political institutions. Focusing
Nunez Lopez, Lidia +2 more
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Previous research has shown that presidential debates have “minimal effects” on aggregate electoral preferences because they mainly reinforce people's pre-existing political preferences.
Francisco Cantú, Miguel Carreras
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VOLATILITY AND WESTERN EUROPEAN PARTY SYSTEMS: TWO NEW APPROACHES
The sharp rise in electoral volatility in the last two decades calls for a new explanation of Western European party systems. The established party system theory—Lipset and Rokkan’s “freezing hypothesis”—is not confirmed by today’s data.
Jan-Erik Lane
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Does Size Matter? Electoral Performance of Small Parties in Brazil [PDF]
What is the impact of small parties on electoral outcomes? This articles aims at contributing to the literature on party systems by proposing a new method to classify political parties.
Willber Nascimento +4 more
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The snap election held in September 2022 saw the victory of the right-wing coalition, with a remarkable performance of the populist radical right party Fratelli d’Italia and its leader, Giorgia Meloni, who has become the first female Prime Minister of ...
Sofia Marini, Gianluca Piccolino
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