Results 221 to 230 of about 498 (264)
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Electoral volatility and parties’ ideological responsiveness

European Journal of Political Research, 2018
AbstractFor a number of decades now, scholars have been indicating that ties between citizens and parties are eroding. As a consequence, electoral behaviour has become more volatile and also more unpredictable. The consequences of this process of change on parties’ strategic behaviour have, however, received little attention.
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An approximation problem in computing electoral volatility

Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2007
Abstract This paper is focused on an approximation problem which often arises when volatility is computed from electoral databases. Volatility is a key dimension in studies on electoral change or stability in party systems [M.N. Pedersen, The dynamics of European party systems: changing patterns of electoral volatility, European Journal of Political ...
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Electoral Volatility and Partisan Dealignment

1990
Abstract In the second part of the book we need to move beyond particular constituency results to develop theories which can account for systematic trends. In this chapter we will start by considering explanations of electoral volatility based on theories of partisan alignment, dealignment, and realignment, to understand why by ...
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Electoral institutions and growth volatility: Theory and evidence

International Political Science Review, 2011
What accounts for the substantial variation in the temporal volatility of economic growth rates in democratic regimes? We claim that institutional differences between the majoritarian and proportional representation (PR) electoral systems explain why growth volatility is high in some democracies, but not others. Specifically, we suggest that unlike PR
Sergio Béjar, Bumba Mukherjee
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The economic determinants of electoral volatility in Africa

Party Politics, 2017
Democratic performance and party system institutionalization (PSI) are thought to be integrally linked. Electoral volatility is an important dimension of PSI and has thus been the focus of many studies. Despite the attention given to electoral volatility, its determinants remain elusive.
Michelle Kuenzi   +3 more
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A Geographical Analysis of Dutch Electoral Volatility 1994–2012

Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, 2016
ABSTRACTIn the past two decades, Dutch electoral volatility has been one of the highest in Europe. This study analyses this phenomenon from a geographic perspective. In contrast to the prevalent use of electoral volatility, as a method for comparison of national political systems, the differences within a single national context are examined. Electoral
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Retrospective Voting and Electoral Volatility: A Nordic Perspective

Scandinavian Political Studies, 2008
This article examines why people vote for the same party, switch parties or move from voting to non‐voting at consecutive elections. By using post‐election survey data from Iceland, Finland, Norway and Sweden in the beginning of the 2000s, the main aim is to model the impact of retrospective evaluations of party performance while controlling for ...
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4 Example of Model Building: Electoral Volatility

2008
AbstractThe foremost mental roadblocks in predictive model building are refusal to make outrageous simplifications and reluctance to play with means of extreme cases. “Ignorance-based” models focus on conceptual constraints: What do we already know about the situation, even before collecting any data?
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The Social Origins of Electoral Volatility in Africa

British Journal of Political Science, 2010
This article utilizes the statistical analysis of an original dataset of African legislative seat volatility levels and three case studies to demonstrate that the size and configuration of politically salient ethnic groups bear a strong relationship with patterns of legislative seat volatility in Africa.
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