Results 101 to 110 of about 84,446 (258)
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
ENSO Forecast Value, Variable Climate and Stochastic Prices [PDF]
We evaluate ENSO forecasts when prices are variable and ENSO is a portion of overall climatic variability. Forecast responses include crop mix, cultivar,fertilization, and planting date.
Ferreyra, Andres +3 more
core +1 more source
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.We quantified the causal effect (CE) of linkages between four monthly climate indices ENSO, SMHP, RWC, and MHC for 1940–2022 with a time lag of one month. The results show CE values from (1) ENSO to SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$ -0.44 $$ (i.e., a one standard deviation (SD) increase in ENSO causes a decrease in SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$
Grzegorz Muszynski +5 more
wiley +1 more source
The Value of Long-Term Climate Forecast Information in Weather Index Insurance [PDF]
In the paper, preliminary results of the analysis of potential use of climate forecast information in designing rainfall index insurance in the southeastern region of the U.S. are reported.
Nadolnyak, Denis A., Vedenov, Dmitry V.
core +1 more source
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2003 The realistic simulation of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (CGCM) is used to test two simple theoretical models of the phenomenon: the recharge oscillator model of Jin and the delayed oscillator model of Schopf, Suarez, Battisti, and Hirst (SSBH)
Mechoso, C. R., Neelin, J. D., Yu, J.-Y.
openaire +2 more sources
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.The change in the frequency of wet spells in tropical Australia in summer primarily contributes to the change in precipitation between wet and dry years. In the extratropics, both the frequency and intensity of wet spells are important, especially in winter.
Sunil Pariyar +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Remote Sensing, 2019 The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is widely used to monitor vegetation phenology and productivity around the world. Over the last few decades, phenology monitoring at large scales has been possible due to the information and metrics ...
J. Antonio Guzmán Q. +2 more
doaj +1 more source
THE VALUE OF ENSO INFORMATION TO AGRICULTURE: CONSIDERATION OF EVENT STRENGTH AND TRADE [PDF]
The agricultural value of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase knowledge is measured in a value-of-information framework using economic models. We examine the value of considering the full distribution of ENSO phase strength effects as opposed to ...
Chen, Chi-Chung, McCarl, Bruce A.
core +1 more source
ENSO MODULATIONS ON STREAMFLOW CHARACTERISTICS
Earth Sciences Research Journal, 2010 TUBITAKTurkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Arastirma Kurumu (TUBITAK) [YDABAG 102Y146]
Marti, Ali Ihsan +2 more
openaire +7 more sources
The effect of ENSO / Anti ENSO on northeast monsoon rainfall
MAUSAM, 1999 Northeast monsoon precipitation data of 5 meteorological sub-divisions in India, spanning the period 1901-97, were analysed to identify the effect of ENSO/Anti ENSO events on the rainfall over southern peninsular India. ENSO/Anti ENSO years were selected on the basis of seasonal Southern Oscillation Index (SOI).
U. S. DE, R. K. MUKHOPADHYAY
openaire +2 more sources