Results 161 to 170 of about 84,446 (258)

Three Centuries of ENSO Variability Inferred From Muna, Sulawesi, Indonesia Teak δ18O: Limited Response to Radiative Forcing

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 5, 16 March 2026.
Abstract We present an annual resolution oxygen isotope anomaly (Δδ18 ${\Delta }{\delta }^{18}$Oc) record, derived from eight teak (Tectona grandis L.f.) tree ring‐dated δ18 ${\delta }^{18}$Oc series from Muna, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia (5.3° ${}^{\circ}$S, 123° ${}^{\circ}$E).
M. N. Evans   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Asian Precipitation Changes in the Past Millennium: Projection of Volcanic Forcing Onto Internal Mode

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 5, 16 March 2026.
Abstract Asian precipitation changes over multiple time scales have been extensively studied, yet the relative roles of external forcing and internal variability in shaping the large‐scale Asian precipitation pattern over the past millennium remain underexplored. Here, we demonstrate that the tripolar pattern of decadal precipitation variability across
Wenmin Man   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

ENSO and PDO drive shoreline position anomalies in the US Pacific Northwest. [PDF]

open access: yesPNAS Nexus
Taherkhani M   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Asymmetry in ENSO Prediction Skill Linked to Consecutive La Niña Events Within the IRI Real‐Time Forecast System

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 5, 16 March 2026.
Abstract Accurately predicting the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains a key challenge in climate science. An evaluation of the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) real‐time ENSO forecast system reveals an asymmetry in prediction skill linked to consecutive La Niña events.
Wenchang Ge   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 5, 16 March 2026.
Abstract Recent record‐hot years have caused discussion over whether global warming has accelerated. Previous analysis found acceleration (i.e., increase in warming rate) has not yet reached a 95% confidence level, given natural temperature variability. We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and
G. Foster, S. Rahmstorf
wiley   +1 more source

A Machine Learning-Based Dynamic SST Index for Long-Lead Malaria Prediction in the Peruvian Amazon. [PDF]

open access: yesGeohealth
Pan M   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The “Predictability Barrier” Phenomenon of Winter Extreme Cold Events in Central and Eastern China and Mechanisms of Error Amplification

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 5, 16 March 2026.
Abstract Previous studies have primarily focused on evaluating the forecast skill of extreme cold events in central and eastern China as a whole, with limited attention to their different stages. This study identifies a distinct “predictability barrier” phenomenon in the ensemble forecasts, characterized by rapid growth of ensemble mean forecast error ...
Zhe Han   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

ENSO amplifies global vegetation resilience variability in a changing climate. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Zhou W   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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