Results 71 to 80 of about 85,246 (286)

A delay differential model of ENSO variability, Part 2: Phase locking, multiple solutions, and dynamics of extrema [PDF]

, 2010
We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it combines two ...
Ghil, Michael, Zaliapin, Ilya
core   +5 more sources

Dry–Hot Compound Events Driving the 2024 Pantanal Wildfires

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Extreme wildfires in the Pantanal in 2024 were driven by a cascade of heatwaves, rainfall deficits and the absence of the annual flood pulse. These conditions dried soils and rivers, enhanced fuel accumulation and enabled early and intense fire outbreaks.
Liz B. C. Belém, Ronaldo Albuquerque, Leonardo F. Peres, Filippe L. M. Santos, Julia A. Rodrigues, Lucas S. Menezes, Patrícia S. Silva, Ricardo M. Trigo, Carlos C. DaCamara, Ana Russo, João Geirinhas, Geraldo A. Damasceno Junior, Fabio O. Roque, Ana M. B. Nunes, Renata Libonati   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source

Sunshine Duration in Brazil From Meteosat (1983–2020): Climatology, Variability and Long‐Term Trends

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Using nearly four decades of Meteosat satellite data (1983–2020), this study presents a country‐wide climatology of sunshine duration (SDU) in Brazil. The results reveal marked regional contrasts, dominant modes of variability, and significant long‐term trends, providing new information on the most relevant meteorological systems that influence SDU and
Maria Lívia Lins Mattos Gava, Simone Marilene Sievert da Costa, Íris Paraguay Silva   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Different atmospheric moisture divergence responses to extreme and moderate El Niños [PDF]

, 2015
On seasonal and inter-annual time scales, vertically integrated moisture divergence provides a useful measure of the tropical atmospheric hydrological cycle.
A Capotondi, A Singh, Adrian J. Matthews, AH Oort, aM Chiodi, B Hewitson, B Praveen Kumar, BC Hewitson, BJ Soden, BS Giese, C Bosc, C Folland, C Fu, C Lorenz, C Wang, C Wang, CP Chang, D Harrison, D Hartmann, DB Reusch, DC Verdon-Kidd, DC Verdon-Kidd, DP Dee, E Kalnay, FR Robertson, Guangzhi Xu, H Su, HY Kao, J Bjerknes, J Bjerknes, J Roads, J Roads, J Xu, JM Rodríguez, JS Kug, JY Yu, K Ashok, K Mo, K Wang, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, KE Trenberth, L Gimeno, M Hoerling, M Pan, M Zahn, M Zhang, Manoj M. Joshi, MG Bosilovich, NC Johnson, NJ Mantua, NK Larkin, NK Larkin, P Knippertz, P Knippertz, R Kistler, RG Crane, S Power, T Cavazos, T Kohonen, T Kohonen, Timothy J. Osborn, TJ Galarneau, W Cai, W Cai, X-W Quan, Y Hu, Y Liu   +73 more
core   +1 more source

Dry‐Season Water Deficits in the Southwestern Amazon Under High Emissions

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Projected climatic water deficit in the study region indicates a longer and more intense dry season, with delays in the onset of the wet season under higher emission scenarios. These changes, particularly, pronounced under SSP5‐8.5, suggest increased ecological vulnerability and greater seasonal water stress.
Débora J. Dutra, Chris Jones, Richard A. Betts, Igor J. M. Ferreira, Luiz E. O. C. Aragão, Guilherme Mataveli, Henrique Leão, Breno I. Domingos, Beatriz F. Cabral, Philip M. Fearnside, Paulo M. L. A. Graça, Aurora M. Yanai, Celso H. L. Silva‐Junior, Thais P. de Medeiros, Ricardo Dalagnol, Daniel Braga, Vinícius Peripato, Chantelle Burton, Liana O. Anderson   +18 more
wiley   +1 more source

Identifikasi Tinggi dan Jarak Genangan Daerah Rawan Bencana Rob di Wilayah Pantai Utara Jawa yang Disebabkan Gelombang Badai Pasang dan Variasi Antar Tahunan

Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 2018
Tinggi dan jarak genangan rob yang disebabkan oleh gelombang badai pasang (storm tide) dan variasi antar tahunan di sepanjang pantai utara Jawa disimulasikan dengan menggunakan model hidrodinamika 2D dengan fasilitas Flooding and Drying (FAD).
Farrah Hanifah, Nining Sari Ningsih
doaj   +1 more source

Response of Pacific-sector Antarctic ice shelves to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. [PDF]

, 2018
Satellite observations over the past two decades have revealed increasing loss of grounded ice in West Antarctica, associated with floating ice shelves that have been thinning.
Adusumilli, S, Fricker, HA, Howard, S, Padman, L, Paolo, FS, Siegfried, MR   +5 more
core   +1 more source

Projected Intensification of Hydroclimatic Extremes in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, Under CMIP6 Scenarios

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The graphical abstract presents observed (1963–2023) and projected changes in hydroclimatic extremes in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil. It integrates dry‐spell duration (CDD) and extreme precipitation (R95pTOT) using CMIP6 multimodel ensembles under SSP1‐2.6, SSP2‐4.5, and SSP5‐8.5.
Daris Correia dos Santos
wiley   +1 more source

Combining ENSO Forecasts: A Feasibility Study [PDF]

Monthly Weather Review, 2004
Numerical and statistical predictions of simplified models are linearly combined in a sensitivity study to identify the crucial parameters that are needed to enhance predictability of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. The results indicate that the ENSO prediction skill of the simplified models can be improved.
Metzger, S., Latif, Mojib, Fraedrich, K..   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Performance Evaluation of the MPAS Model in Simulating Southeast Asian Rainfall Characteristics

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the performance of the Model for Prediction Across Scales–Atmosphere (MPAS) in reproducing key rainfall characteristics over Southeast Asia (SEA) during 2000–2020, using the MSWEP dataset as reference. MPAS realistically captures the observed meridional rainfall gradient, with higher rainfall in the south and lower in the north, as
Nguyen Thanh Hung, Alugula Boyaj, Srivatsan V. Raghavan, Nguyen Ngoc Son, Bhenjamin Jordan Ona   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source