Results 31 to 40 of about 14,206,160 (302)

Epidemic modelling by ripple-spreading network and genetic algorithm [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Mathematical analysis and modelling is central to infectious disease epidemiology. This paper, inspired by the natural ripple-spreading phenomenon, proposes a novel ripple-spreading network model for the study of infectious disease transmission.
Hu, Xiao-Bing   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Discrete epidemic models

open access: yesMathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2010
The mathematical theory of single outbreak epidemic models really began with the work of Kermack and Mackendrick about decades ago. This gave a simple answer to the long-standing question of why epidemics woould appear suddenly and then disappear just as suddenly without having infected an entire population.
Fred Brauer   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

A Stochastic Switched Epidemic Model with Two Epidemic Diseases [PDF]

open access: yesComplexity, 2021
In this paper, we study a stochastic epidemic model with double epidemics which includes white noise and telegraph noise modeled by Markovian switching. Sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence of the diseases are established. In the end, some numerical simulations are presented to demonstrate our analytical results.
Amine El Koufi   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Travelling waves for an epidemic model with non-smooth treatment rates [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
This is the post-print version of the final published paper that is available from the link below. Copyright @ 2010 IOP Publishing Ltd and SISSA.We consider a susceptible–infected–removed (SIR) epidemic model with two types of nonlinear treatment rates:
Winter, M   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Spatio-temporal epidemic modelling using additive-multiplicative intensity models [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
An extension of the stochastic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model is proposed in order to accommodate a regression context for modelling infectious disease surveillance data. The proposal is based on a multivariate counting process specified by
Höhle, Michael
core   +1 more source

Modeling the Prescription Opioid Epidemic [PDF]

open access: yesBulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2019
27 pages, 13 figures. Bull Math Biol (2019)
Nicholas A. Battista   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Epidemics modeling [PDF]

open access: yesCybernetics and Computer Technologies, 2020
Introduction. Due to the spread of COVID-19 in the world, mathematical modeling of epidemiological processes is an important and relevant scientific problem. There are many models describing the dynamics of pandemics, such as the standard SIR model, but most of them are deterministic, while in reality, the processes of infecting and recoveries are ...
P. Knopov, O. Bogdanov
openaire   +2 more sources

Time series analysis of leptospirosis incidence for forecasting in the Baltic countries using the ARIMA model

open access: yesРадіоелектронні і комп'ютерні системи
Leptospirosis, a zoonotic disease with significant public health implications, presents considerable forecasting challenges due to its seasonal patterns and environmental sensitivity, especially in under-researched regions like the Baltic countries. This
Mykola Butkevych, Dmytro Chumachenko
doaj   +1 more source

Optimal Control and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in An Epidemic Model with Viral Mutation and Vaccine Intervention

open access: yesCauchy: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi, 2022
This paper introduces an optimal control problem in a two-strain SIR epidemic model with viral mutation and vaccine administration. The purpose of this study was to investigate the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of two disease prevention strategies ...
Yudi Ari Adi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

From Markovian to pairwise epidemic models and the performance of moment closure approximations [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
Many if not all models of disease transmission on networks can be linked to the exact state-based Markovian formulation. However the large number of equations for any system of realistic size limits their applicability to small populations.
Kiss, Istvan Z.   +26 more
core   +1 more source

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