Results 171 to 180 of about 25,441 (248)

Facilitators and Barriers of Adolescent Self‐Disclosure Across Different Confidants: A Multi‐Informant Mixed Methods Study

Journal of Adolescence, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Introduction Adolescent self‐disclosure is essential for relationship building, receiving support and mental well‐being. However, little is known about whom adolescents confide in and what factors facilitate or hinder this process. Method In this mixed methods multi‐informant study, twelve Dutch adolescents (Mage = 18.3, 66.6% girls) and their
Marie‐Louise J. Kullberg, Loes Keijsers, Bernet Elzinga, Loes H. C. Janssen   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling With Hemisphere Neural Networks

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We revisit maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for macroeconomic density forecasting through a novel neural network architecture with dedicated mean and variance hemispheres. Our architecture features several key ingredients making MLE work in this context.
Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Mikael Frenette, Karin Klieber   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

What Explains International Interest Rate Co‐Movement?

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The international co‐movement of interest rates reflects correlated business‐cycle fluctuations, largely driven by demand shocks. Monetary policy in advanced economies follows domestic mandates—inflation and the output gap—and does not respond to foreign policy shocks.
Annika Camehl, Gregor von Schweinitz
wiley   +1 more source

Volatility Modeling: An Overview of Equity Markets in the Euro Area During COVID-19 Pandemic

, 2021
Duttilo P, Gattone SA, Battista T.
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Related Time Series

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT A collection of time series are “related” if they follow similar stochastic processes and/or they are statistically dependent. This paper proposes a related time series (RTS) forecasting model that exploits these relationships. The model's foundation is a set of univariate Gaussian autoregressions, one for each series, which are then augmented
Ulrich K. Müller, Mark W. Watson
wiley   +1 more source

Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Small Open Economies

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether the effects of monetary policy shocks on real exchange rates have changed over time and, if so, whether these changes stem from shifts in transmission mechanisms or from variation in the volatility of the shocks themselves.
Madison Terrell, Qazi Haque, Jamie L. Cross, Firmin Doko Tchatoka   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal Predictions and Their Applications in the Mediterranean Region: Part I—Sources of Predictability and Prediction Skill

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The ability to predict climate fluctuations at seasonal timescales offers significant socio‐economic benefits. However, limited understanding of predictability mechanisms and model errors hinders forecast quality. Recent research has improved forecasting systems and data quality.
Gualdi Silvio, Javier García‐Serrano, Constantin Ardilouze, Silvia Terzago, Veronica Torralba, Wafae Badi, Lauriane Batté, Fatima Driouech, Kristina Fröhlich, Ernesto Rodriguez Camino, Esteban Rodriguez Guisado, Massimiliano Pasqui, Andrea Toreti   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal Predictions and Their Applications in the Mediterranean Region: Part II—Prediction‐Based Services

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This review explores climate predictions as actionable decision‐making tools, focusing on the Mediterranean. It examines transforming forecasts into user‐defined information through bias adjustment, downscaling and impact models. Highlighting collaborative EU initiatives, it addresses challenges like limited forecasting skill and data accessibility ...
Silvio Gualdi, Ernesto Rodriguez Camino, Esteban Rodriguez Guisado, Andrea Toreti, Massimiliano Pasqui, Constantin Ardilouze, Wafae Badi, Lauriane Batté, Fatima Driouech, Kristina Fröhlich, Javier García‐Serrano, Silvia Terzago, Veronica Torralba   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Projected 21st Century Changes in Precipitation and Temperature Over Italy Using CMIP6 CMCC‐CM2‐SR5 Model and COSMO‐CLM Dynamical Downscaling

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the COSMO‐CLM regional climate model over Italy under CMIP6 scenarios. Compared to its driving global model, COSMO‐CLM reduces temperature biases by 50%–75% and better represents precipitation and extremes, adding critical mesoscale detail.
Alejandro Vichot‐Llano, Mario Raffa, Angelo Campanale, Marianna Adinolfi, Gabriella Ceci, Paola Mercogliano   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Projected Evolution of Climatic Aridity in Spain: Robust Signals and Model Uncertainties

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study examines the projected evolution of climatic aridity in Spain throughout the 21st century, using the UNEP Aridity Index and CMIP6 simulations under different emission scenarios and global warming levels. Despite model biases, results show a general increase in aridity across the country, particularly in southern regions and the Canary ...
Víctor Trullenque‐Blanco, María del Mar Rondón Velasco, Maialen Iturbide, José Manuel Gutiérrez, Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Santiago Beguería   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source