Results 141 to 150 of about 995 (204)

Policy Networks and Policy Entrepreneurship in the EU: Explaining Structural Policy Change in Pharmaceutical Innovation Incentives and Health Technology Assessment

European Policy Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Policy process research has excelled in explaining structural policy change within national settings, but extensions and applications to the EU level have long proven challenging for scholars. Given that the EU is currently experiencing its longest period of Treaty stability since the 1980s—having evolved into a sui generis political system ...
Vassilis Karokis‐Mavrikos
wiley   +1 more source

Appraising Policies Through Social Multi‐Criteria Evaluation: Lessons From a Systematic Review of Applications

European Policy Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In response to renewed interest in analytical tools that address complex policy problems and move beyond linear‐rational approaches in policy appraisal, Social Multi‐Criteria Evaluation (SMCE) integrates participatory approaches with multi‐criteria analysis (MCA), thereby incorporating specialised knowledge and diverse social values and ...
Egle Basyte Ferrari
wiley   +1 more source

The Distributive Consequences of Active Welfare Policies in Europe

European Policy Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the distributive consequences of active welfare policies in Europe by analysing tier‐specific investments in individualised employment services across four European welfare states: Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom.
Deborah Jackwerth‐Rice, Katharina Zimmermann   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

The collision of feminisms, sexuality, and trafficking in persons in the Caribbean—A place for Kempadoo

Feminist Anthropology, EarlyView.
Abstract The existence and development of feminist scholarship and practice have been revisited by feminist anthropologists and sociologists exploring it among the gendered cultural and historical dynamics of the Caribbean. Feminist Caribbeanists’ pioneering efforts that fit within this theoretical family have challenged the Global North status quo to ...
Cherisse Francis
wiley   +1 more source

A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley   +1 more source

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Exploring the Nexus Between Sustainability Index and Central European Stock Markets Competitiveness: Evidence Through Time–Frequency Analysis and SHAP

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková, Dipak Kumar Jana, Michal Páleš, Elena Fleaca, Petr Dostál   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley   +1 more source

Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether ambiguity influences hedging behavior in commodity futures markets. Using high‐frequency crude oil futures data, distinct measures of risk and ambiguity are linked to weekly hedging positions from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Fiona Höllmann
wiley   +1 more source