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The Theory of Exchange Rate Determination, and Exchange Rate Forecasting

1993
The theory of exchange rate determination is in an unsatisfactory state. From the theoretical point of view the debates between the traditional flow approach and the modern asset-market approach have seen the victory of the latter. But from the empirical point of view the forecasting ability of the theoretical models remains very poor.
Giancarlo Gandolfo   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Exchange Rate Narratives

Leveraging Wall Street Journal news, recent developments in textual analysis, and generative AI, we estimate a narrative decomposition of the dollar exchange rate. Our findings shed light on the connection between economic fundamentals and the exchange rate, as well as on its absence.
Cormun, Vito, Ristolainen, Kim
openaire   +3 more sources

Comment on: Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, and exchange rate disconnect

Journal of Monetary Economics, 2002
The Devereux–Engel paper addresses two long-standing puzzles in international economics: exchange rate volatility and its disconnect. Solutions to these puzzles have eluded standard macroeconomic models, which typically underpredict the magnitude of exchange rate volatility and predict strong counterfactual relationships between exchange rates and ...
Margarida Duarte, Alan C. Stockman
openaire   +2 more sources

Exchange Rate Regimes and Equilibrium Exchange Rates in East Asia

Revue économique, 2003
L’evaluation de taux de change d’equilibre des monnaies des trois grands pays d’Asie de l’Est (japon, Chine, Coree) est effectuee selon la methode du feer de Williamson [1994]. Elle permet d’eclaircir les problemes de cooperation monetaire regionale, qui ont acquis une importance accrue apres la crise financiere de 1997-1998. Le yuan chinois est devenu
Se-Eun Jeong, Jacques Mazier
openaire   +4 more sources

Exchange rate dynamics in a peripheral monetary economy

, 2013
This paper discusses exchange rate behavior in what we call a peripheral monetary economy. First, it analyzes the essential properties of an open monetary economy, stressing the notions of assets' own rates of interest, liquidity preference, uncertainty,
R. P. Andrade, D. Prates
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Exchange Rate Management

The Economic Journal, 1993
In the same week that the pound sterling and the Italian lira were forced by speculative pressures to suspend their participation in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS), a study was published which concluded that exchange market intervention was a far more potent instrument for managing exchange rates than the ...
openaire   +2 more sources

Exchange-Rate Determination

2002
The problem of the forces that determine the exchange rate and, in particular, its equilibrium value, is self-evident under flexible exchange rates, but is also important under limited flexibility and even under fixed exchange rates (if the fixed rate is not an equilibrium one, the market will put continuing pressure on it and compel the monetary ...
openaire   +2 more sources

High‐Efficiency Ion‐Exchange Doping of Conducting Polymers

Advanced Materials, 2022
David Beljonne   +2 more
exaly  

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