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The determinants of real exchange rate volatility in South Africa
, 2020This paper investigates the determinants of exchange rate volatility in South Africa for the period 1986-–2013 using the New Open Economy Macroeconomics model by Obstfeld & Rogoff (1996) and Hau (2002).
Trust R. Mpofu
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Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2004The relative out-of-sample forecasting quality of symmetric and asymmetric conditional volatility models of an exchange rate differs according to the symmetric and asymmetric evaluation criteria. Both symmetric and asymmetric forecast competitors of currency volatility are biased and systematically overpredict volatility.
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Exchange rate and volatility: A bibliometric review
International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2020The exchange rate is one of the most important prices in open economies. Exchange rate volatility (ERV) has been studied in terms of its measurement, forecast and impact and relationship with other variables. This article proposes a bibliometric analysis
Martha Flores-Sosa +2 more
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MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY*
International Economic Review, 2012This article proposes an explanation for shifts in the volatility of exchange‐rate returns. Agents are uncertain about the true data generating model and deal with this uncertainty by making inference on the models and their parameters' approach, I call model learning.
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Comment on: Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, and exchange rate disconnect
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2002The Devereux–Engel paper addresses two long-standing puzzles in international economics: exchange rate volatility and its disconnect. Solutions to these puzzles have eluded standard macroeconomic models, which typically underpredict the magnitude of exchange rate volatility and predict strong counterfactual relationships between exchange rates and ...
Margarida Duarte, Alan C Stockman
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Journal of International Commerce Economics and Policy, 2019
This study extends previous literature by examining the effect of extremely large to extremely small changes in the exchange rate volatility on the US exports to developing countries such as Brazil, India, Mexico, and South Africa.
B. Chang, S. Rajput, N. Bhutto
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This study extends previous literature by examining the effect of extremely large to extremely small changes in the exchange rate volatility on the US exports to developing countries such as Brazil, India, Mexico, and South Africa.
B. Chang, S. Rajput, N. Bhutto
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Exchange-rate volatility, exchange-rate disconnect, and the failure of volatility conservation [PDF]
Empirical analysis of exchange rates has produced puzzles that conventional models of exchange rates cannot explain. Here we deal with four puzzles regarding both real and nominal exchange rates, which are robust and inconsistent with standard theory. These puzzles are that both real and nominal exchange rates: i) are disconnected from fundamentals, ii)
Alexei Deviatov, Igor Dodonov
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Exchange rate volatility and international trade
Journal of business research, 2023M. Lal +4 more
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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate Return Volatility
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2018The extent to which economic policy uncertainty (EPU) amplifies exchange rate volatility has been an important research question for at least a decade. Previous research has investigated this relationship using monthly data, concluding that EPU imparts ...
Zachary Bartsch
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Are exchange rates ‘excessively’ volatile?
Journal of International Economics, 1987This paper applies standard variance bounds tests to assess whether the Dornbusch overshooting model can explain the volatility of exchange rates. The violation of some of the inequalities is consistent with the hypothesis that exchange rates are ‘excessively’ volatile.
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