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What Do Analysts’ Provision Forecasts Tell Us About Expected Credit Loss Recognition?
Social Science Research Network, 2019We examine the incremental predictive ability and information content of analysts’ provision forecasts to explore the potential effects of the FASB’s new current expected credit loss (CECL) accounting method.
Anne Beatty, Scott Liao
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Accounting for expected credit losses
2016This paper discusses the results of the research problem of accounting for expected credit losses. Accounting for expected credit losses should provide users of financial statements useful information about an entity’s expected credit losses on its financial assets and commitments to extend credit.
Mrša, Josipa +2 more
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Expected loss and fair value over the credit cycle
The Journal of Credit Risk, 2005We present an easily applied method of risk-adjusting reduced-form models for changes in systematic risk over the credit cycle. Using an empirical approach, we model the probable changes in systematic risk over time, showing that investment-grade portfolios that are naive to changes in levels of systematic risk can significantly underestimate expected ...
Daniel Philps, Solomon Peters
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Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 2017
This paper demonstrates that the convexity of PD functions as well as the correlation among probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD) outcomes impart skewness to the credit-loss, probability-distribution function
G. Chawla +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
This paper demonstrates that the convexity of PD functions as well as the correlation among probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD) outcomes impart skewness to the credit-loss, probability-distribution function
G. Chawla +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Current Expected Credit Loss Procyclicality: It Depends on the Model
The Journal of Credit Risk, 2018The new guidelines for loan loss reserves, current expected credit loss (CECL), were initially proposed so that lenders’ loss reserves would be forward-looking. Some recent studies have suggested that CECL could be procyclical, meaning that loss reserves
J. Breeden, M. Vaskouski
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Current Expected Credit Losses and consumer loans
Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2023Joao Granja, Fabian Nagel
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Estimating Unbiassed Expected Loss, with Application to Consumer Credit
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2017The credit risk measure, Expected Loss (EL) is defined as the product of the three risk parameters: probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD). EL is central to risk management, profit estimation, calculating regulatory capital requirements and the standard accounting rules for credit (IFRS 9).
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A transitions-based framework for estimating expected credit losses [PDF]
This paper presents a framework for estimating losses for residential mortgage loans.At the core is a transitions-based probability of default model which yields directly observ- able cash-fl ows at the loan level. The estimated model includes coefficients on unemployment, Loan to Value ratio and interest rates, all of which allow a macroeconomic ...
Gaffney, Edward +2 more
openaire
Could corporate credit losses turn out higher than expected?
2021While corporate credit losses have been low since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, their future evolution is quite uncertain. Using a forecasting model with a solid track record, we find that the baseline scenario ("expected losses") is benign up to 2024. This is due to policy support measures that have kept debt service costs low.
Juselius, Mikael, Tarashev, Nikola A.
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The Effect of the Shift to an Expected Credit Loss Model on Loan Loss Recognition Timeliness
, 2021Jeong‐Bon Kim +3 more
semanticscholar +2 more sources

