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MODELING LIFETIME EXPECTED CREDIT LOSSES ON BANK LOANS
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2021The guidelines of various Accounting Standards require every financial institution to measure lifetime expected credit losses (LECLs) on every instrument, and to determine at each reporting date if there has been a significant increase in credit risk since its inception.
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Shortly before the COVID-19 crisis emerged worldwide accounting standard boards reformed the accounting requirements for the modeling and the accounting of credit loss allowances. The Financial Standards Board (FASB) issues new requirements effective 2020 and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) IFRS 9 becoming effective 2018. The crisis
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Expected Credit Loss vs. Credit Value Adjustment: A Comparative Analysis
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2015The recent publication of the IFRS 9 norms related to collective provisions for non defaulted instruments has settled a new vision to banking book portfolios. In this paper we show that the IFRS 9 provision measured through the Expected Credit Loss (ECL), inspired from a market vision on loan books, is very similar to the Credit Value Adjustment (CVA ...
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Advanced Risk Consulting Expected Loss Model (ARC ELM): For Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL)
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2017The ARC ELM is a top-down expected credit loss system that projects the intertemporal effects of both loan default cycles and macroeconomic conditions on credit losses for U.S. banks. The ARC ELM is based on an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) time series analysis using historical loan loss and macroeconomic data, while, importantly, also maintaining ...
Aaron Lucey, Clifton Chang
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Current Expected Credit Loss: Lessons from 2007-2009
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018We use a top-down approach to estimate the amount of credit loss allowances under the current expected credit loss (CECL) methodology during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The new standard will replace the incurred loss methodology that is used nowadays by banks. We find that CECL would have been highly procyclical had it been in place during the past
Francisco Covas, William Nelson
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