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Optimizing Expected Shortfall under an 1 Constraint—An Analytic Approach [PDF]

open access: goldEntropy, 2021
Expected Shortfall (ES), the average loss above a high quantile, is the current financial regulatory market risk measure. Its estimation and optimization are highly unstable against sample fluctuations and become impossible above a critical ratio r=N/T ...
Gábor Papp, Imre Kondor, Fabio Caccioli
doaj   +4 more sources

Dynamic Asset Allocation with Expected Shortfall via Quantum Annealing [PDF]

open access: yesEntropy, 2023
Recent advances in quantum hardware offer new approaches to solve various optimization problems that can be computationally expensive when classical algorithms are employed.
Hanjing Xu   +3 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Regression Based Expected Shortfall Backtesting [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Financial Econometrics, 2019
This paper introduces novel backtests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) following the testing idea of Mincer and Zarnowitz (1969). Estimating a regression framework for the ES stand-alone is infeasible, and thus, our tests are based on a joint
Bayer, Sebastian, Dimitriadis, Timo
core   +3 more sources

Expected Shortfall and Beyond [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Banking & Finance, 2002
Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e.
Tasche, Dirk
core   +5 more sources

Managing Meteorological Risk through Expected Shortfall [PDF]

open access: yesRisks, 2020
This paper focuses on weather derivatives as efficient risk management instruments and proposes a more advanced approach for their pricing. An “hybrid” contract is introduced, combining insurance properties, specifically tailored for the region under ...
Silvana Stefani   +3 more
doaj   +3 more sources

Implementation of a Commitment Machine for an Adaptive and Robust Expected Shortfall Estimation [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Artificial Intelligence, 2021
This study proposes a metaheuristic for the selection of models among different Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation methods. The proposed approach, denominated “Commitment Machine” (CM), has a strong focus on assets cross-correlation and allows to measure
Marco Bagnato   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Backtesting Expected Shortfall: a simple recipe? [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Risk, 2018
We propose a new backtesting framework for Expected Shortfall that could be used by the regulator. Instead of looking at the estimated capital reserve and the realised cash-flow separately, one could bind them into the secured position, for which risk ...
Moldenhauer, Felix, Pitera, Marcin
core   +3 more sources

On the coherence of Expected Shortfall [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Banking & Finance, 2001
Expected Shortfall (ES) in several variants has been proposed as remedy for the defi-ciencies of Value-at-Risk (VaR) which in general is not a coherent risk measure. In fact, most definitions of ES lead to the same results when applied to continuous loss
Acerbi, Carlo, Tasche, Dirk
core   +5 more sources

Conditional marginal expected shortfall [PDF]

open access: yesExtremes, 2021
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Y. Goegebeur   +3 more
semanticscholar   +3 more sources

High-Dimensional Expected Shortfall Regression [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of the American Statistical Association, 2023
Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable and a set of ...
Shushu Zhang   +3 more
semanticscholar   +3 more sources

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