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A multilevel stochastic approximation algorithm for value-at-risk and expected shortfall estimation [PDF]
We propose a multilevel stochastic approximation (MLSA) scheme for the computation of the value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) of a financial loss, which can only be computed via simulations conditionally on the realisation of future risk ...
St'ephane Cr'epey, N. Frikha, Azar Louzi
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Backtesting expected shortfall and beyond
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021We conduct a comprehensive study of the performance of leading backtesting procedures for expected shortfall. The tests differ in their analytical complexity, stability over different models, sensitivity to the sample sizes (both estimation and ...
K. Deng, Jie Qiu
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Adjusted Higher-Order Expected Shortfall
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2022The authors investigate how to detect different tail behaviors of two risk random variables with the same mean. A class of convex risk measures, referred to as adjusted higher-order expected shortfall (ES), is introduced and studied. The adjusted risk measure quantifies risk as the minimum amount of capital that has to be raised and injected into a ...
Zhenfeng Zou, Taizhong Hu
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Risk management with expected shortfall
Mathematics and Financial Economics, 2021zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Pengyu Wei
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Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Both Duration and Severity with Bivariate Orthogonal Polynomials [PDF]
We propose an original two-part, duration-severity approach for backtesting Expected Shortfall (ES). While Probability Integral Transform (PIT) based ES backtests have gained popularity, they have yet to allow for separate testing of the frequency and ...
Sullivan Hu'e +2 more
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Quantitative finance (Print), 2023
A class of realized semi-parametric conditional autoregressive joint Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models is proposed. This class includes novel specifications that allow separate dynamics for VaR and ES, driven by realized measures of ...
Chao Wang, R. Gerlach, Qi'an Chen
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A class of realized semi-parametric conditional autoregressive joint Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models is proposed. This class includes novel specifications that allow separate dynamics for VaR and ES, driven by realized measures of ...
Chao Wang, R. Gerlach, Qi'an Chen
semanticscholar +1 more source
Powerful Backtests for Historical Simulation Expected Shortfall Models
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023Since 2016, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has regulated banks to switch from a Value-at-Risk (VaR) to an Expected Shortfall (ES) approach to measuring the market risk and calculating the capital requirement. In the transition from VaR to ES,
Zaichao Du +3 more
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An asymptotic study of systemic expected shortfall and marginal expected shortfall
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2022zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Yiqing Chen, Jiajun Liu
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Monitoring Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Forecasts
Management Sciences, 2022This paper introduces formal monitoring procedures as a risk-management tool. Continuously monitoring risk forecasts allows practitioners to swiftly review and update their forecasting procedures as soon as forecasts turn inadequate.
Y. Hoga, M. Demetrescu
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