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Distortion risk measures: Prudence, coherence, and the expected shortfall
Mathematical FinanceDistortion risk measures (DRM) are risk measures that are law invariant and comonotonic additive. The present paper is an extensive inquiry into this class of risk measures in light of new ideas such as qualitative robustness, prudence and no reward for ...
M. Amarante, Felix-Benedikt Liebrich
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Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 2021
The expected shortfall is an important risk measure in financial risk management. In this paper, we study the Bahadur-type representation of an improved nonparametric expected shortfall estimator for φ-mixing financial losses without any restrictions on ...
Yi Wu +3 more
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The expected shortfall is an important risk measure in financial risk management. In this paper, we study the Bahadur-type representation of an improved nonparametric expected shortfall estimator for φ-mixing financial losses without any restrictions on ...
Yi Wu +3 more
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Local Expected Shortfall-Hedging
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2001This paper proposes a self-financing trading strategy that minimizes the expected shortfall locally when hedging a European contingent claim. A positive shortfall occurs if the hedger is not willing to follow a perfect hedging or a superhedging strategy.
Marco Schulmerich, Siegfried Trautmann
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Bayes Risk, Elicitability, and the Expected Shortfall
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020AbstractMotivated by recent advances on elicitability of risk measures and practical considerations of risk optimization, we introduce the notions of Bayes pairs and Bayes risk measures. Bayes risk measures are the counterpart of elicitable risk measures, extensively studied in the recent literature.
Paul Embrechts +3 more
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Estimation and Inference for Nonparametric Expected Shortfall Regression over RKHS
Journal of the American Statistical AssociationExpected shortfall (ES) has emerged as an important metric for characterizing the tail behavior of a random outcome, specifically associated with rarer events that entail severe consequences. In climate science, the threats of flooding and heatwaves loom
Myeonghun Yu +4 more
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Individual and flexible expected shortfall backtesting
The Journal of Risk Model Validation, 2012In this paper we propose an expected shortfall (ES) backtesting approach that uses the dispersion of a truncated distribution by the estimated value-at-risk (VaR) upper limit, does not limit the approach to the Gaussian case and allows us to test if each individual VaR violation is significantly different from the ES. Moreover, we present a Monte Carlo
Marcelo Brutti Righi +1 more
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Backtesting the Expected Shortfall
2021Junior Management Science, Bd. 6 Nr. 3 (2021)
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Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall
Social Science Research Network, 2021Quasi maximum likelihood estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) is discussed. The reference likelihood is that of a location-scale asymmetric Laplace distribution, related to a family of loss functions that lead to strictly ...
Leopoldo Catania, A. Luati
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Unexpected shortfalls of Expected Shortfall: Extreme default profiles and regulatory arbitrage
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016Abstract The purpose of this paper is to dispel some common misunderstandings about capital adequacy rules based on Expected Shortfall. We establish that, from a theoretical perspective, Expected Shortfall based regulation can provide a misleading assessment of tail behavior, does not necessarily protect liability holders’ interests much better than ...
Koch-Medina, Pablo, Munari, Cosimo
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An Axiomatic Foundation for the Expected Shortfall
Management Sciences, 2019In the recent Basel Accords, the expected shortfall (ES) replaces the value-at-risk (VaR) as the standard risk measure for market risk in the banking sector, making it the most popular risk measure in financial regulation.
Ruodu Wang, R. Zitikis
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