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Farm/crop portfolio simulations under variable risk: a case study from Italy

Agricultural and Food Economics, 2019
Important sources of risk in agriculture are yield and price fluctuations caused by unpredictable and uncontrollable events, inducing income volatility and adding considerable complexity to farmers’ decisions.
Franco Rosa, Mario Taverna, Federico Nassivera, Luca Iseppi   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluating Sensitivity of the Ranking of Forest Fuel Treatments to Manager’s Risk Attitudes and the Importance of Treatment Objectives, Montana, USA

International Journal of Forestry Research, 2019
This study develops a conceptual framework for evaluating the sensitivity of the ranking of forest fuel treatment strategies (FTSs) to variation in managers’ risk attitudes and the importance ratings managers assign to fuel treatment objectives and ...
Tony Prato, Travis Paveglio
doaj   +1 more source

Behavioral Finance in Brazil: applying the prospect theory to potential investors

Revista Brasileira de Gestão De Negócios, 2014
The premise of unbounded rationality defended by the Efficient Market Hypothesis is challenged by the theoretical framework that involves Behavioral Finance, whose basis, Kahneman and Tversky’s Prospect Theory (1979), questions the Expected Utility ...
Claudia Emiko Yoshinaga, Thiago Borges Ramalho   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Feasibility study for the value of pelvic floor distension in predicting mode of birth for women undergoing Vaginal Birth After Caesarean

European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology: X, 2021
Indroduction & hypothesis: Women having Vaginal Birth (VB) have different soft tissue dynamics to women requiring emergency Lower Section Caesarean Section (LSCS).
Philip Toozs-Hobson, Elizabeth Edwards, Aneta Obloza, J. Benjamin Toozs-Hobson, Helen Egan   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Coherent frequentism [PDF]

, 2009
By representing the range of fair betting odds according to a pair of confidence set estimators, dual probability measures on parameter space called frequentist posteriors secure the coherence of subjective inference without any prior distribution.
Datta G. S., David R. Bickel, Fisher R. A., Fisher R. A., Gleser L. J., Hacking I., Hannig J., Kaplan M., Kyburg H. E. J., Molchanov I., Paris J. B., Pawitan Y., Smith C. A. B., Walley P., Welch B. L., Wilkinson G. N., Williamson J.   +16 more
core   +1 more source

Stimulus expectations do not modulate visual event-related potentials in probabilistic cueing designs

NeuroImage, 2023
Humans and other animals can learn and exploit repeating patterns that occur within their environments. These learned patterns can be used to form expectations about future sensory events.
Carla den Ouden, Andong Zhou, Vinay Mepani, Gyula Kovács, Rufin Vogels, Daniel Feuerriegel   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Greatest Happiness Principle in a Complex System: Maximisation versus Driving Force [PDF]

Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems, 2012
From philosophical point of view, micro-founded economic theories depart from the principle of the pursuit of the greatest happiness. From mathematical point of view, micro-founded economic theories depart from the utility maximisation program.
Katalin Martinás, Zsolt Gilányi
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On optimal strategies for utility maximizers in the Arbitrage Pricing Model [PDF]

, 2016
We consider a popular model of microeconomics with countably many assets: the Arbitrage Pricing Model. We study the problem of optimal investment under an expected utility criterion and look for conditions ensuring the existence of optimal strategies ...
Rasonyi, Miklos
core   +2 more sources

A Decision-Theoretic Model of Behavior Change

Frontiers in Psychology, 2019
Undesirable habitual or addictive behaviors are often difficult to change. The issue of “behavior change” has long been studied in various research fields.
Kaosu Matsumori, Kaosu Matsumori, Kazuki Iijima, Yasuharu Koike, Kenji Matsumoto   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

From Expected Utility Theory to Prospect Theory : Tracking Down the Experimental Path After Forty Years

Operations Research and Decisions, 2020
The expected utility theory axioms have been studied experimentally. Three of the experiments are a repetition of an earlier test in slightly changed circumstances, while the other two are original.
Sławomir Kalinowski
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