Results 211 to 220 of about 30,226 (260)
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British Actuarial Journal, 2016
AbstractExpert judgement has been used since the actuarial profession was founded. In the past, there has often been a lack of transparency regarding the use of expert judgement, even though those judgements could have a very significant impact on the outputs of calculations and the decisions made by organisations. The lack of transparency has a number
M. Ashcroft +7 more
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AbstractExpert judgement has been used since the actuarial profession was founded. In the past, there has often been a lack of transparency regarding the use of expert judgement, even though those judgements could have a very significant impact on the outputs of calculations and the decisions made by organisations. The lack of transparency has a number
M. Ashcroft +7 more
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Expert Judgement and Expert Disagreement
Thinking & Reasoning, 1996As Hammond has argued, traditional explanations for disagreement among experts (incompetence, venality, and ideology) are inadequate. The character and fallibilities of the human judgement process itself lead to persistent disagreements even among competent, honest, and disinterested experts.
Jeryl L. Mumpower, Thomas R. Stewart
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Expert Judgement in Pharmacoeconomic Studies
PharmacoEconomics, 2000Research in the field of pharmacoeconomics has increased substantially during the past decade. Much of this research has been on the design and analysis of data concerning the relative merits of one drug or device compared with another in terms of costs and effects.
C, Evans, B, Crawford
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Software Quality Evaluation Based on Expert Judgement
Software Quality Journal, 2003A method using expert judgement for the evaluation of software quality is presented. The underlying principle of the approach is the encoding of experts' tacit knowledge into probabilistic measures associated with the achievement level of software quality attributes.
Koskela, Mika +3 more
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Expert judgement as an estimating method
Information and Software Technology, 1996Abstract This paper reviews some past research that may be relevant to the way that ‘expert judgement’ is used to produce estimates of software size and implementation effort. It then describes a survey of software estimators in one organization conducted via written questionnaires and some follow-up interviews.
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Evolutionary Risk Analysis: Expert Judgement
2011New systems and functionalities are continuously deployed in complex domains such as Air Traffic Management (ATM). Unfortunately, methodologies provide limited support in order to deal with changes and to assess their impacts on critical features (e.g. safety, security, etc.).
Massimo Felici +3 more
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Revista de la Real Academia de Ciencias Exactas, Fisicas y Naturales. Serie A. Matematicas, 2011
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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The Viability of Heuristics in Expert Judgement
SSRN Electronic Journal, 1998A conventional assumption in economic models is that expert judgement requires Bayesian behavior. A justification for this assumption is that because Bayesian behavior results in superior decisions, it is dominant in a evolutionary sense. Bayesian experts who are sequentially rational, however, set standards that are "too low".
Paul E. Fischer, Robert E. Verrecchia
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Determinants of expert judgement of research performance
Scientometrics, 1982The relationship between indicators of and expert judgement of, research performance were compared in the context of mission oriented pharmaceutical research. Expert judgment is very highly correlated with measures of publication activity, much more so than with very plausible measures of research output and research quality.
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Expert judgement combination using moment methods
Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2008Moment methods have been employed in decision analysis, partly to avoid the computational burden that decision models involving continuous probability distributions can suffer from. In the Bayes linear (BL) methodology prior judgements about uncertain quantities are specified using expectation (rather than probability) as the fundamental notion.
Wisse, B.W. +2 more
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