Results 181 to 190 of about 207,056 (304)

Seasonal Predictions and Their Applications in the Mediterranean Region: Part II—Prediction‐Based Services

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This review explores climate predictions as actionable decision‐making tools, focusing on the Mediterranean. It examines transforming forecasts into user‐defined information through bias adjustment, downscaling and impact models. Highlighting collaborative EU initiatives, it addresses challenges like limited forecasting skill and data accessibility ...
Silvio Gualdi, Ernesto Rodriguez Camino, Esteban Rodriguez Guisado, Andrea Toreti, Massimiliano Pasqui, Constantin Ardilouze, Wafae Badi, Lauriane Batté, Fatima Driouech, Kristina Fröhlich, Javier García‐Serrano, Silvia Terzago, Veronica Torralba   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hidden Markov Quantile Models With Trends for Analysing Air Temperature Data

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
There is the question of whether climate change, expressed by time‐trends in temperature, is of a heterogeneous nature or not. Here, the time‐trend heterogeneity argument has been investigated using Hidden Markov (HM) quantile time‐trends models in temperature time series.
Georgios Tsiotas, Athanassios Argiriou, Anna Mamara   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Atmospheric River Event Frequency Is the Principal Moisture Driver for Radial Growth of High‐Elevation Southern California, USA Conifers, 1658–2020 CE

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Conifers growing in high‐elevation alpine environments in the mountains of Southern California, USA, are highly responsive to atmospheric river (AR) events, which typically produce heavy precipitation over 1–3 days. However, it is the frequency of the AR events, not their magnitude nor annual precipitation totals, that most affects the radial growth of
Paul A. Knapp, Avery A. Catherwood, Tyler J. Mitchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Projected 21st Century Changes in Precipitation and Temperature Over Italy Using CMIP6 CMCC‐CM2‐SR5 Model and COSMO‐CLM Dynamical Downscaling

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the COSMO‐CLM regional climate model over Italy under CMIP6 scenarios. Compared to its driving global model, COSMO‐CLM reduces temperature biases by 50%–75% and better represents precipitation and extremes, adding critical mesoscale detail.
Alejandro Vichot‐Llano, Mario Raffa, Angelo Campanale, Marianna Adinolfi, Gabriella Ceci, Paola Mercogliano   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Dry–Hot Compound Events Driving the 2024 Pantanal Wildfires

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Extreme wildfires in the Pantanal in 2024 were driven by a cascade of heatwaves, rainfall deficits and the absence of the annual flood pulse. These conditions dried soils and rivers, enhanced fuel accumulation and enabled early and intense fire outbreaks.
Liz B. C. Belém, Ronaldo Albuquerque, Leonardo F. Peres, Filippe L. M. Santos, Julia A. Rodrigues, Lucas S. Menezes, Patrícia S. Silva, Ricardo M. Trigo, Carlos C. DaCamara, Ana Russo, João Geirinhas, Geraldo A. Damasceno Junior, Fabio O. Roque, Ana M. B. Nunes, Renata Libonati   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source

Methods for the estimation of extreme rainfall events

, 2019
The estimation of design rainfalls is necessary to estimate the exceedance probabilities of extreme floods required to design hydraulic structures and to quantify the risk of failure of these structures. New approaches to estimating extreme rainfall events are being developed internationally.
Johnson, KA, Smithers, JC
openaire   +1 more source

Spatiotemporal Changes in Precipitation Concentration in the Atlantic‐European Region

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study analyses changes in precipitation concentration using ERA5 and E‐OBS datasets. Gini index as a measure of precipitation concentration revealed a gradual expansion of areas with increasing unevenness in precipitation distribution across the Atlantic‐European region since 1961.
Petr Dobrovolný, David Tichopád, Rudolf Brázdil, Jan Řehoř, Jiří Mikšovský   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Projected Evolution of Climatic Aridity in Spain: Robust Signals and Model Uncertainties

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study examines the projected evolution of climatic aridity in Spain throughout the 21st century, using the UNEP Aridity Index and CMIP6 simulations under different emission scenarios and global warming levels. Despite model biases, results show a general increase in aridity across the country, particularly in southern regions and the Canary ...
Víctor Trullenque‐Blanco, María del Mar Rondón Velasco, Maialen Iturbide, José Manuel Gutiérrez, Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Santiago Beguería   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Large Proportions of Surface Ozone and Premature Mortality Due to a Stratospheric Intrusion Event in North China

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study, by examining a typical stratospheric intrusion event that occurred in North China from 30 to 31 July 2021, found that the event led to a sharp increase in near‐surface ozone concentrations by 23 ppbv within 36 h, accounting for 40% of the total observed ozone levels, with localised peaks exceeding 30 ppbv.
Yinghan Sun, Zhicong Yin, Yijia Zhang
wiley   +1 more source

Spatiotemporal Droughts Propagation and Direct Driving Variables Under Climate Change Projections: A Case Study of Tunisia

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Drought spatiotemporal propagation and direct driving variables are assessed at multiple time steps with high spatial resolution using various drought indices (SPI, SPEI and SPDI) and entropy based mutual information under an ensemble of climate change projections over Tunisia. ABSTRACT Projecting drought occurrence and spatiotemporal propagation under
Haykel Sellami
wiley   +1 more source