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Inflation Fan Charts and Different Dimensions of Uncertainty: What if Macroeconomic Uncertainty is High? [PDF]

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2013
The paper discusses problems associated with communicating uncertainty by means of ‘fan charts’, used in many central banks for presenting density forecasts of inflation and other macroeconomic variables. Limitations of fan charts in the case of high macroeconomic uncertainty are shown.
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A FAN CHART FOR INFLATION RATE FORECASTS IN ROMANIA [PDF]

Revista economica, 2012
For an inflation targeting Central Bank, like The National Bank of Romania, the transparency of the target regime and the credibility of the politics based on it are very important objectives. Moreover, the forecasts offered to the public are a mirror of the professionalism in anticipating the macroeconomic evolution.
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ChartAdapter: Large Vision-Language Model for Chart Summarization

arXiv.org
Chart summarization, which focuses on extracting key information from charts and interpreting it in natural language, is crucial for generating and delivering insights through effective and accessible data analysis.
Peixin Xu, Yujuan Ding, Wenqi Fan
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections [PDF]

, 2014
A short article which motivates the use of a fan chart in the communication of forecasts, with special emphasis on inflation forecasts. A fan chart for Maltese HICP inflation projections is built, using the history of forecast errors.
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Re-layout on car fan production at X Inc. using activity relationship chart method

International Congress on Mathematical Software, 2023
Kevin Ravenska, C. O. Doaly
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Uncertainty and risk analysis of the Langrun Chinese GDP Forecast: Fan Charts revisited

China Economic Journal, 2011
In this paper, we develop a fan chart methodology for Chinese economic growth to incorporate uncertainty analysis into the gross domestic product growth forecast. Using the ‘Langrun Forecast’ project results exclusively, we estimate the density distribution for Chinese gross domestic product growth forecasts and build corresponding fan charts for the ...
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The Swedish inflation fan charts: an evaluation of the Riksbank's inflation density forecasts

The Journal of Risk Model Validation, 2008
This paper evaluates the inflation density forecasts published by the Swedish central bank, the Sveriges Riksbank. Realized inflation outcomes are mapped to their forecasted percentiles, which are then transformed to be standard normal under the null that the forecasting model is good.
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Debt sustainability in emerging market countries: Some policy guidelines from a fan-chart approach

, 2017
Anne-Charlotte Paret
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Social media content strategy for sport clubs to drive fan engagement

Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 2021
Balamurugan Annamalai, Masayuki Yoshida, Atul Arun Pathak   +2 more
exaly  

An application of the choleskized multivariate distributions for constructing inflation «fan charts»

2014
The paper postulates applying the multivariate non-normal and skewed distributions with dependent components to construct probabilistic forecasts of inflation, usually presented in a form of 'fan charts'. The rationale of this came from the empirical analysis of naive and econometric forecasts annual inflation (measured monthly) for 28 OECD countries ...
Charemza, W. W., Makarova, S., Jelonek, P.   +2 more
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