The Bulletin of EU & US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis (BIAM) is a monthly publication that has been reporting real time analysis and forecasts for inflation and other macroeconomic aggregates for the Euro Area, the US and Spain since 1994. The
Antoni Espasa, Eva Senra
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Fan Chart Approach to Debt Sustainability in Pakistan
Pakistan’s economy has experienced relatively high growth of above 4.5 percent during FY2014-18. Meanwhile external liabilities and domestic debt have increased by almost 50 percent over the same period. This substantial increase in the external and domestic debt is a major issue for policymakers concerned about debt sustainability in Pakistan.
Mehak Ejaz, Kalim Hyder
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The Myth of Methuselah and the Uncertainty of Death: The Mortality Fan Charts [PDF]
This paper uses mortality fan charts to illustrate prospective future male mortality. These fan charts show both the most likely path of male mortality and the bands of uncertainty surrounding that path. The fan charts are based on a model of male mortality that is known to provide a good fit to UK mortality data.
Kevin Dowd +2 more
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Incorporating uncertainties into economic forecasts: an application to forecasting economic activity in Croatia [PDF]
In this paper we present a framework for incorporating uncertainties into economic activity forecasts for Croatia. Using the vector error correction model (VECM) proposed by Rukelj (2010) as the benchmark model, we forecast densities of the variable of ...
Dario Rukelj, Barbara Ulloa
doaj
A longitudinal resource for population neuroscience of school-age children and adolescents in China
During the past decade, cognitive neuroscience has been calling for population diversity to address the challenge of validity and generalizability, ushering in a new era of population neuroscience. The developing Chinese Color Nest Project (devCCNP, 2013–
Xue-Ru Fan +51 more
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Incorporating Market Information Into the Construction of the Fan Chart
This paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new approach.
Prakash Kannan, Selim Elekdag
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Toric Geometry and the Semple-Nash modification [PDF]
This paper proposes some material towards a theory of general toric varieties without the assumption of normality. Their combinatorial description involves a fan to which is attached a set of semigroups subjected to gluing-up conditions. In particular it
Perez, Pedro Daniel Gonzalez +1 more
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Probability Forecast Using Fan Chart Analysis: A Case of the Sierra Leone Economy [PDF]
This article made use of ARIMAX methodology in producing probability forecast from Fan Chart analysis for the Sierra Leone economy. In view of the estimation technique used to determine best model choice for outputting the Fan Chart, the outcomes have shown the importance of Exchange Rate variable as an exogenous component in influencing Inflation ...
Jackson, Emerson Abraham, Tamuke, Edmund
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Energy saving potential of a counter-flow regenerative evaporative cooler for various climates of China: Experiment-based evaluation [PDF]
© 2017 Recently there has been growing interest in regenerative evaporative coolers (REC), which can reduce the temperature of the supply air to below the wet-bulb of intake air and approach its dew-point.
Chen, Hongbing +4 more
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Cutaneous Melanoma Drives Metabolic Changes in the Aged Bone Marrow Immune Microenvironment
Melanoma, the deadliest form of skin cancer, increasingly affects older adults. Our study reveals that melanoma induces changes in iron and lipid levels in the bone marrow, impacting immune cell populations and increasing susceptibility to ferroptosis.
Alexis E. Carey +12 more
wiley +1 more source

