On the Forecasting Accuracy of Multivariate GARCH Models [PDF]
This paper addresses the question of the selection of multivariate GARCH models in terms of variance matrix forecasting accuracy with a particular focus on relatively large scale problems.
Francesco Violante +2 more
core
Commonality in the LME aluminium and copper volatility processes through a Figarch lens [PDF]
We consider dynamic representation of spot and three month aluminium and copper volatilities. These are the two most important metals traded in the London Metal Exchange (LME).
Christopher L. Gilbert +1 more
core
Statistical modelling for forecasting volatility in potato prices using ARFIMA-FIGARCH model
The Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2018 This paper investigates the presence of long memory both in mean and volatility in the potato prices in Agra and Amritsar markets of India, using the Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (FIGARCH) models.
DIPANKAR MITRA +2 more
openaire +1 more source
The effect of COVID-19 on long memory in returns and volatility of cryptocurrency and stock markets. [PDF]
Chaos Solitons Fractals, 2021 Lahmiri S, Bekiros S.
europepmc +1 more source
Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach [PDF]
Academics and practitioners have extensively studied Value-at-Risk (VaR) to propose a unique risk management technique that generates accurate VaR estimations for long and short trading positions and for all types of financial assets.
Stavros Degiannakis, Timotheos Angelidis
core
How COVID-19 has affected stock market persistence? Evidence from the G7's. [PDF]
Physica A, 2021 Bentes SR.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting Corn Futures Volatility in the Presence of Long Memory, Seasonality and Structural Change [PDF]
Price volatility in the corn market has changed considerably globalization and stronger linkages to the energy complex. Using data from January 1989 through December 2009, we estimate and forecast the volatility in the corn market using futures daily ...
Garcia, Philip, Wang, Xiaoyang
core +1 more source
Pronóstico y estructuras de volatilidad multiperíodo de la tasa de cambio del peso colombiano
Cuadernos de Economía, 2008 El modelo gaussiano GARCH(1,1) ha sido empleado, tradicionalmente, en el estudio de la tasa de cambio; sin embargo, un número importante de estudios recientes (utilizando modelos FIGARCH e HYGARCH) ha encontrado evidencia de persistencia en su ...
Gallón Gómez Santiago +2 more
doaj
Does bitcoin provide hedge to Islamic stock markets for pre- and during COVID-19 outbreak? A comparative analysis with gold. [PDF]
Resour Policy, 2021 Chkili W, Ben Rejeb A, Arfaoui M.
europepmc +1 more source
Dynamic linkages and determinants of sovereign CDS and exchange rates: evidence from G7 and BRICS
Humanities & Social Sciences CommunicationsIn the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, global public debt has escalated, further intensified by ongoing geopolitical tensions. This paper explores the dynamic relationship between sovereign credit risk and exchange rate fluctuations through the innovative
Min Su +3 more
doaj +1 more source