Forecast Combination Under Heavy-Tailed Errors [PDF]
Forecast combination has been proven to be a very important technique to obtain accurate predictions. In many applications, forecast errors exhibit heavy tail behaviors for various reasons.
Cheng, Gang, Wang, Sicong, Yang, Yuhong
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Forecasting Profitability [PDF]
We use newly-available Indian panel data to estimate how the returns to planting-stage investments vary by rainfall realizations. We show that the forecasts significantly affect farmer investment decisions and that these responses account for a substantial fraction of the inter-annual variability in planting-stage investments, that the skill of the ...
Mark Rosenzweig, Christopher R. Udry
openaire +3 more sources
MONITORING OF RICE CROP IN PUNJAB AND HARYANA WITH RESPECT TO RESIDUE BURNING [PDF]
This study is based on the fortnightly monitoring of residue burning in fields of kharif rice crops after harvesting in Punjab and Haryana. The kharif rice area (2018–19) was derived using multi-date Sentinel-1A(Microwave SAR) data under FASAL ...
P. Kumar +5 more
doaj +1 more source
COMPARISON OF AGRICULTURAL SITUATION OF INDIA FOR TWO YEARS (2017 AND 2018) USING VARIOUS DROUGHT ASSESSMENT INDICATORS DURING SOUTH WEST MONSOON SEASON IN INDIA [PDF]
Agricultural drought is concerned with the soil moisture deficiency in relation to meteorological droughts and climatic factors and their impacts on agricultural production and economic profitability.
S. Saxena +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Mesoscale Characteristics of Exceptionally Heavy Rainfall during 4–6 May 2023 in Jiangxi, China
A long-lasting rainfall event exceeding historical extremes took place in Jiangxi, China, from May 4 to 6, 2023. Because of the concentrated duration of precipitation, it led to significant water accumulation in the northern, central, and southern ...
An Xiao +6 more
doaj +1 more source
AbstractAccurate forecasting is necessary to remain competitive in today's business environment. Forecast support systems are designed to aid forecasters in achieving high accuracy. However, studies have shown that people are distrustful of automated forecasters.
Dilek Önkal +2 more
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INVENTORY AND ASSESSMENT OF CORIANDER CROP IN THE STATE OF RAJASTHAN USING MULTITEMPORAL REMOTE SENSING DATA [PDF]
The present study aims to develop the methodology for inventory and assessment of coriander crop in Rajasthan using remote sensing technique. Sentinel-2A optical data having a spatial resolution of 10 m, from January–March, 2017 were ...
S. Roy +4 more
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ASSESSMENT OF RICE BIOMASS PRODUCTION AND YIELD USING SEMI-PHYSICAL APPROACH AND REMOTELY SENSED DATA [PDF]
India is one of the world’s largest producers of rice, accounting for 20% of all world rice production. Rice crop occupies nearly 27.6% of the India’s arable land with average consumption per capita/year was ~68.2 kg milled rice.
M. Dwivedi, S. Saxena, Neetu, S. S. Ray
doaj +1 more source
QUALITY CHECKING OF CROP CUTTING EXPERIMENTS USING REMOTE SENSING DATA: A CASE STUDY FOR RICE CROP IN ODISHA [PDF]
Under Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), a large number of Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) were conducted by Odisha State for Kharif Rice in the year 2016 and 2017.
S. K. Dubey +5 more
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Why do some probabilistic forecasts lack reliability? [PDF]
In this work, we investigate the reliability of the probabilistic binary forecast. We mathematically prove that a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for achieving a reliable probabilistic forecast is maximizing the Peirce skill score (PSS) at the ...
Kubo, Yûki
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