Results 301 to 310 of about 1,369,551 (340)

Time series analysis and seasonality trends of SARS-CoV-2 in Ecuador (2020-2024): a four-year study. [PDF]

Front Public Health
Espinosa P, Quirola-Amores P, Lema Asqui S, Terán E.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Sustainable development goal 3: is Ghana on track with neonatal mortality? [PDF]

BMC Public Health
Adama ZK, Abuga S, Opoku S, Welbeck J.
europepmc   +1 more source

Performance evaluation of RespiCast ensemble forecasts for primary care syndromic indicators of viral respiratory disease in Europe during the 2023/24 winter season

Gozzi N, Gioannini C, Milano P, Vismara I, Rossi L, Quaggiotto M, Fiandrino S, Paolotti D, Vespignani A, Johnson H, Grah R, Funk S, Sherratt K, Hens N, Abrams S, Bosschaert M, Celino F, Zino L, Rizzo A, Kandula S, de Blasio BF, Aalto A, Proverbio D, Giordano G, Gonçalves J, Li Y, Perra N, Omokanye A, Martin LJ, Niehus R, Canevari J, Bons E.   +31 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Ensemble forecasting

, 2013
Callado Pallarés, Alfons, Escribà, Pau, García-Moya, José Antonio, Montero Garrido, Jesús Manuel, Santos Burguete, Carlos, Santos Muñoz, Daniel, Simarro Grande, Juan Pablo   +6 more
openaire   +2 more sources

A forecasting tool of hospital demand during heat periods: a case study in Bern, Switzerland

Di Domenico L, Wohlfender MS, Hautz WE, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Althaus CL.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Equicorrelations [PDF]

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
We study the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several time-series models of equicorrelation, which is the average pairwise correlation between a number of assets. Building on the existing Dynamic Conditional Correlation and Linear Dynamic Equicorrelation models, we propose a model that uses proxies for equicorrelation based on high-frequency ...
Adam E Clements, Christopher A Coleman-Fenn, Daniel R Smith   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Forecasting Trade [PDF]

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006
This paper develops a set of time series models to provide short-term forecasts (6 to 18 months ahead) of international trade both at the global level and for selected regions. Our results compare favourably to other forecasts, notably by the International Monetary Fund, as measured by standard evaluation measures, such as the root mean square forecast
Keck, Alexander, Raubold, Alexander
openaire   +2 more sources

Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters [PDF]

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2002
In the presence of principal-agent problems, published macroeconomic forecasts by professional economists may not measure expectations. Forecasters may use their forecasts in order to manipulate beliefs about their ability. I test a cross-sectional implication of models of reputation and information-revelation.
openaire   +1 more source

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Forecasting Forecast Skill

Monthly Weather Review, 1987
It is shown that it is possible to predict the skill of numerical weather forecasts - a quantity which is variable from day to day and region to region. This has been accomplished using as predictor the dispersion (measured by the average correlation) between members of an ensemble of forecasts started from five different analyses.
Eugenia Kalnay, Amnon Dalcher
openaire   +1 more source