Results 1 to 10 of about 149,509 (268)
Forecast with forecasts: Diversity matters [PDF]
European Journal of Operational Research, 2022 Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series features for forecast combination has flourished.
Yanfei Kang +3 more
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Acknowledgment to the Reviewers of Forecasting in 2021
Forecasting, 2022 Rigorous peer reviews are the basis of high-quality academic publishing [...]
Forecasting Editorial Office
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Acknowledgment to Reviewers of Forecasting in 2020
Forecasting, 2021 Peer review is the driving force of journal development, and reviewers are gatekeepers who ensure that Forecasting maintains its standards for the high quality of its published papers [...]
Forecasting Editorial Office
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Argumentative Forecasting [PDF]
International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2022 We introduce the Forecasting Argumentation Framework (FAF), a novel argumentation framework for forecasting informed by recent judgmental forecasting research. FAFs comprise update frameworks which empower (human or artificial) agents to argue over time with and about probability of scenarios, whilst flagging perceived irrationality in their behaviour ...
Irwin, Benjamin +2 more
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Acknowledgment to the Reviewers of Forecasting in 2022
Forecasting, 2023 High-quality academic publishing is built on rigorous peer review [...]
Forecasting Editorial Office
doaj +1 more source
Using Forecasts of Forecasters to Forecast [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006 Quantification techniques are popular methods in empirical research to aggregate the qualitative predictions at the micro-level into a single figure. In this paper, we analyze the forecasting performance of various methods that are based on the qualitative predictions of financial experts for major financial variables and macroeconomic aggregates ...
Nolte, Ingmar, Pohlmeier, Winfried
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Forecasting FOMC Forecasts [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018 (Hendry 1980, p. 403) The three golden rules of econometrics are “test, test, and test”. The current paper applies that approach to model the forecasts of the Federal Open Market Committee over 1992–2019 and to forecast those forecasts themselves.
S. Yanki Kalfa, Jaime Marquez
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Forecasting Professional Forecasters [PDF]
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2006 Survey of forecasters, containing respondents' predictions of future values of growth, inflation and other key macroeconomic variables, receive a lot of attention in the financial press, from investors, and from policy makers. They are apparently widely perceived to provide useful information about agents' expectations.
Eric Ghysels, Jonathan H. Wright
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Analysis of Diurnal Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Tropical Indian Ocean
Atmosphere, 2023 Based on the 30-year global hourly sea surface temperature (SST) dataset (MLSST) produced by the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Ministry of Natural Resources of China, we analyzed the variability of diurnal sea surface temperature ...
Jian Wang +5 more
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Remote Sensing, 2023 The 44 years (1979–2022) of satellite-derived sea ice extent in the Arctic and Antarctic reveals the details and new trends in the process of polar sea ice coverage changes.
Xiaoyu Sun +8 more
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