Results 101 to 110 of about 596,691 (192)

FOMC consensus forecasts [PDF]

In November 2007, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced a change in the way it communicates its view of the economic outlook: It increased the frequency of its forecasts from two to four times per year, and it increased the length of the ...
Geetanjali Pande, William T. Gavin
core  

Scattered Fiscal Forecasts [PDF]

The banking debacle of 2007/2008 and the Greek sovereign debt crisis have witnessed that forecasts of government balances play a major role for how participants in financial markets assess the sustainability of government budget deficits.
Christian Pierdzioch, Georg Stadtmann, Jan Ruelke   +2 more
core  

Evaluating inflation forecasts [PDF]

In the early 1980s, economists tested inflation forecasts and found that the forecasts were very bad. Either the surveys didn't capture forecasters' expectations, or forecasters didn't have rational expectations. However, the sample period being examined
Dean Croushore
core  

Evaluating density forecasts [PDF]

The authors propose methods for evaluating and improving density forecasts. They focus primarily on methods that are applicable regardless of the particular user's loss function, though they take explicit account of the relationships between density ...
Anthony S. Tay, Francis X. Diebold, Todd A. Gunther   +2 more
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The Politics of IMF Forecasts [PDF]

Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF economic forecasts. We find a systematic bias in growth and inflation forecasts.
Axel Dreher, James Raymond Vreeland, Silvia Marchesi   +2 more
core  

Advancing operational global aerosol forecasting with machine learning. [PDF]

Nature
Gui K, Zhang X, Che H, Che H, Li L, Zheng Y, An L, Miao Y, Zhao H, Dubovik O, Holben B, Wang J, Gupta P, Lind ES, Toledano C, Wang H, Wang Z, Wang Y, Huang X, Dai K, Xia X, Xu X, Zhang X.   +22 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Seasonal forecasting using the GenCast probabilistic machine learning model. [PDF]

Clim Dyn
Antonio B, Strommen K, Christensen HM.
europepmc   +1 more source

FORECASTING FROSTS [PDF]

Monthly Weather Review, 1919
openaire   +1 more source

Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts [PDF]

Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model,
Chia-Lin Chang, Michael McAleer, Philip Hans Franses   +2 more
core  

Evaluating the spatiotemporal skill of bias-corrected NMME forecasts against climatological forecasts for seasonal precipitation in China. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Yu B, Cong H, Xu B, Li Y, Xin J.
europepmc   +1 more source