Results 81 to 90 of about 596,691 (192)
Evaluating a three-dimensional panel of point forecasts : the Bank of England survey of external forecasters [PDF]
This article provides a first analysis of the forecasts of inflation and GDP growth obtained from the Bank of England's Survey of External Forecasters, considering both the survey average forecasts published in the quarterly Inflation Report, and the ...
Boero, Gianna +2 more
core +1 more source
Polytope: an algorithm for efficient feature extraction on hypercubes
Journal of Big DataData extraction algorithms on data hypercubes, or datacubes, are traditionally only capable of cutting boxes of data along the datacube axes. For many use cases however, this returns much more data than users actually need, leading to an unnecessary ...
Mathilde Leuridan +5 more
doaj +1 more source
On the optimality of expert-adjusted forecasts [PDF]
Official forecasts of international institutions are never purely model-based. Preliminary results of models are adjusted with expert opinions. What is the impact of these adjustments for the forecasts? Are they necessary to get 'optimal' forecasts? When
Debby Lanser +2 more
core
Reported Earnings and Analyst Forecasts as Competing Sources of Information: A New Approach [PDF]
We study information flows between earnings and forecasts, using suitably adapted Granger causality tests. This approach complements existing cross-sectional studies by abstracting from stock market reactions to information, and focussing on dynamic ...
H. Chan, H.M. Anderson, R. Faff, Y.K. Ho
core
Ensemble model output statistics for wind vectors
, 2012 A bivariate ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) technique for the postprocessing of ensemble forecasts of two-dimensional wind vectors is proposed, where the postprocessed probabilistic forecast takes the form of a bivariate normal probability ...
Anderson +40 more
core +1 more source
Reduced ERA‐I Forecasting Skill During Forbush Decreases
Geophysical Research LettersCorrelations between week‐long cosmic ray flux perturbations and terrestrial cloud cover have previously been identified. Still, uncertainty persists on whether the cloud response is due to a physical link involving cosmic rays or caused by random ...
Jacob Svensmark
doaj +1 more source
Changing Forecasts - Forecasting Change
, 2023 Since the late 1960s, the rising volatility of financial markets in the US has troubled econometricians and bank managers alike. Both professions have found it increasingly difficult to forecast savings deposit flows. This article explores these challenges by focusing on two developments.
openaire +1 more source
How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan [PDF]
A government’s ability to forecast key economic fundamentals accurately can affect business confidence, consumer sentiment, and foreign direct investment, among others.
Chia-Lin Chang +2 more
core
Long range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern U.S. [PDF]
, 2002 We explore a strategy for long-range hydrologic forecasting that uses ensemble climate model forecasts as input to a macroscale hydrologic model to produce runoff and streamflow forecasts at spatial and temporal scales appropriate for water management ...
Kumar, Arun +3 more
core +1 more source