Results 191 to 200 of about 907,371 (309)

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

A Comprehensive Review on the Significance, Sources, and Applications of Virtual Water on Global Platform

open access: yesFood Safety and Health, EarlyView.
A conceptual framework of virtual water showing its sources, major applications, components of the virtual water footprint, and emerging future directions. The diagram emphasizes the growing role of virtual water in global sustainability and resource planning.
Priti Bhowmik   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Time Integrals Under the Black–Scholes–Merton and Margrabe Economies

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The problem of integrating the Black, Scholes, and Merton (BSM) formula with respect to the time variable is paramount for an economist. Inspired by the real options literature, Shackleton and Wojakowski offer analytic formulae for valuing finite maturity (profit) caps and floors that are contingent on continuous flows following a lognormal ...
José Carlos Dias   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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