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Forward implied volatility expansion in time-dependent local volatility models****** [PDF]

open access: diamondESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys, 2014
We introduce an analytical approximation to efficiently price forward start options on equity in time-dependent local volatility models as the forward start date, the maturity or the volatility coefficient are small.
Bompis Romain, Hok Julien
doaj   +4 more sources

Managing Forward Volatility and Skew Risk

open access: greenSSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
The forward start dual volatility swap is introduced. It can be regarded as the analog for volatility of what the entropy contract is for variance. Under the risk neutral measure it is shown that the difference between the forward start volatility swap ...
Frido Rolloos
semanticscholar   +3 more sources

Investigating the Impact of Agricultural, Financial, Economic, and Political Factors on Oil Forward Prices and Volatility: A SHAP Analysis

open access: yesEnergies
Accurately forecasting crude oil prices is crucial due to its vital role in the industrial economy. In this study, we explored the multifaceted impact of various financial, economic, and political factors on the forecasting of crude oil forward prices ...
Hyeon-Seok Kim   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options

open access: greenJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2006
Options with different maturities can be used to generate an implied forward volatility, a volatility forecast for non-overlapping future time intervals.
Thorsten M. Egelkraut, Philip Garcia
doaj   +2 more sources

Forward-Looking Volatility Estimation for Risk-Managed Investment Strategies during the COVID-19 Crisis

open access: yesRisks, 2021
Under the impact of both increasing credit pressure and low economic returns characterizing developed countries, investment levels have decreased over recent years.
Luca Di Persio   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Forward-looking disclosure and corporate reputation as mechanisms to reduce stock return volatility

open access: yesRevista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review, 2019
The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether forward-looking disclosures and corporate reputation lead to a reduction in stock return volatility. This study measures financial forward-looking information, by conducting a content analysis of annual
Francisco Bravo Urquiza
doaj   +2 more sources

The relationship between corporate forward-looking disclosure and stock return volatility [PDF]

open access: goldProblems and Perspectives in Management, 2018
The study assesses corporate forward-looking disclosure by measuring four attributes, namely disclosure quantity, disclosure coverage, disclosure concentration and disclosure quality, through a sample of 34 listed firms in the Bahrain Bourse from 2014 to
Gehan A. Mousa, Elsayed A. H. Elamir
doaj   +2 more sources

Analytical formulae for variance and volatility swaps with stochastic volatility, stochastic equilibrium level and regime switching

open access: yesAIMS Mathematics
The CIR stochastic volatility model is modified to introduce nonlinear mean reversion, with the long-run volatility average as a random variable controlled by two parts being modeled through a Brownian motion and a Markov chain, respectively.
Xin-Jiang He, Sha Lin
doaj   +2 more sources

The implied volatility index: Is ‘investor fear gauge’ or ‘forward-looking’?

open access: yesBorsa Istanbul Review, 2015
The paper aims to examine implied volatility as the investor fear gauge or/and forward-looking expectation of future stock market volatility within emerging markets setting-India VIX. The earliest results evidenced that VIX is the gauge of investor fear,
Imlak Shaikh, Puja Padhi
doaj   +2 more sources

SOFR term structure dynamics—Discontinuous short rates and stochastic volatility forward rates [PDF]

open access: bronzeSocial Science Research Network
The Secured Overnight Funding Rate (SOFR) has become the risk‐free rate benchmark in US dollars, thus term structure models should reflect key features exhibited by SOFR and forward rates implied by SOFR futures.
Alan Brace, Karol Gellert, Erik Schlögl
openalex   +2 more sources

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