Quantifying Diversification Effects of A Portfolio Using the Generalised Extreme Value Distribution- Archimedean Gumbel Copula Model [PDF]
This paper uses the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution - Archimedean Gumbel copula modelling approach to quantify diversification effects in a bivariate portfolio of financial asset returns.
Chikobvu, Delson, Jakata, Owen
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Portfolio Optimization via Pair Copula-GARCH-EVT-CVaR Model
AbstractThis paper uses CVaR as the risk measure and applies EVT to model the tails of the return series so as to estimate risk of assets more accurately. This paper also applies pair Copula to capture the inter-dependence structure between assets and constructs pair Copula-GARCH-EVT model; then, we combine it with Monte Carlo Simulation and Mean-CVaR ...
Deng, Ling, Ma, Chaoqun, Yang, Wenyu
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Does Risk Aversion Matter for Foreign Asset Holdings of Pension Funds – The Case of Poland [PDF]
In this study we explore the issue of foreign assets in mandatory pension funds portfolios. First we provide an overview of the regulatory policies regarding international assets and indicate the externalitieswhich may account for the observed ...
Kurach, Radosław, Papla, Daniel
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Multi-Objective Stochastic Optimization Programs for a non-Life Insurance Company under Solvency Constraints [PDF]
In the paper, we introduce a multi-objective scenario-based optimization approach for chance-constrained portfolio selection problems. More specifically, a modified version of the normal constraint method is implemented with a global solver in order to ...
Daris, Roberto, Kaucic, Massimiliano
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Portfolio optimization based on GARCH-EVT-Copula forecasting models
Abstract This study uses GARCH-EVT-copula and ARMA-GARCH-EVT-copula models to perform out-of-sample forecasts and simulate one-day-ahead returns for ten stock indexes. We construct optimal portfolios based on the global minimum variance (GMV), minimum conditional value-at-risk (Min-CVaR) and certainty equivalence tangency (CET) criteria, and model ...
Maziar Sahamkhadam +2 more
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Model risk of risk models [PDF]
This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with market uncertainty. During calm periods,
Danielsson, Jon +3 more
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Calculation of Value at Risk of Currency Portfolio for a Typical Bank by GARCH-EVT-Copula Method [PDF]
The purpose of this study is to calculate Value at Risk (VaR) of a selection of bank's currency portfolio, using GARCH-EVT-Copula (GEC) approach. Today's main challenge of a banking system is to calculate and quantify the risks that the system is ...
Hossein Raghfar, Narges Ajorlo
doaj +1 more source
This study investigates the dependence between extreme returns of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices and the Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) changes as well as the predictive power of OVX to generate accurate Value at Risk (VaR) forecasts ...
Krzysztof Echaust, Małgorzata Just
doaj +1 more source
Data-Driven Risk Measurement by SV-GARCH-EVT Model
This paper aims to more effectively manage and mitigate stock market risks by accurately characterizing financial market returns and volatility. We enhance the Stochastic Volatility (SV) model by incorporating fat-tailed distributions and leverage effects, estimating model parameters using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. By integrating extreme
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Estimasi Nilai VaR Dinamis Indeks Saham Menggunakan Peak-Over Threshold dan Block Maxima
Kejadian ekstrim pada bidang finansial pada periode 2008/2009 telah menyadarkan para praktisi maupun peneliti di bidang finansial untuk mengevaluasi kembali teknik-teknik pemodelan risiko finansial.
Komang Dharmawan
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